Saturday, April 30, 2011
Great Feats (1E)
Friday, April 29, 2011
All Time Great Team Competition - Seasons 2 and 3
All Time Great Team Competition Begins
Power Alley - Week 1
Taking Gold Country as an example:
- 11-3 current record equates to a .786 winning percentage
- 63 RF and 48 RA equates to a .633 pythagorean winning percentage
- These two are averaged, giving a 60/40 weight to the pythagorean percentage.
- The result is .694. This is 112 wins.
Players of the Week - Sim 1
The young 24-year old reliever Joe Neale of the DC Chips narrowly edges Garland Braxton for our Week 1 Pitcher of the Week. Neale went 3-0 with a 0.89 ERA in 20.1 innings pitched. He struck out 21 versus just 6 walks earning him a 0.97 RCERA, best in the league.
Thursday, April 28, 2011
Sim 1E Complete!
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
Great Feats (1A - 1D)
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
The New (and Improved) ATB Value Report
- Defensive error rate is now incorporated
- Defensive range rate is now completely position dependent. Last year I cheated a bit and compared all infielders to each other, instead of 1st basemen, second basemen, etc.
A (way too early) Look On the New Guys
Monday, April 25, 2011
Ballparks of ATB XIII
Defense Matters (Part II)
Recently, I have stumbled across a similar study that details the impact of error rates. It is included below as well.
For those unfamiliar, the blue line represents the number of runs the average team yielded in each study. (Please note the studies were conducted by different people and you can see the ‘average” offense is different between each).
As you move up and down the defensive abilities spectrum, the expected runs prevented changes with the defense. For instance, a team with a Pr rated first basemen gives up 17 more runs a season than a team with an average ranged first basemen (838 vs 855).
This new graphic below attempts to put both studies into perspective by changing runs scored to % above or below the average offense. It normalizes them:
Hopefully, it is obvious that teams focusing on great defense have a significant advantage in preventing runs. This isn’t an exact prediction, but if you had a team of Vg/75 defenders at every position, you could save your team about 65 runs per season (assuming the ATB XII average of 767 runs scored as the baseline).
Using some Bill James Pythagorean math, that changes an 81-81 team to a 88-74 squad. Drafting a team with good offense and defense, well, that is how one makes the playoffs.
Mini Sim Rule Reminder
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Sim 1A Complete!
“You look forward to it [Opening Day] like a birthday party when you’re a kid. You think something wonderful is going to happen.” – Joe DiMaggio
“I love Opening Day. I think we all do, whether it’s the players, coaches or front office. It’s just a special day in our American culture. It’s weaved into the fabric of what we are, and I think it’s a great day.” – Padres manager Bud Black
“A home opener is always exciting, no matter whether it’s at home or on the road.” – Yogi Berra
“People ask me what I do in winter when there’s no baseball. I’ll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring.” – Rogers Hornsby
“There is no sports event like Opening Day of baseball, the sense of beating back the forces of darkness and the National Football League.” – George Vecsey
“It’s like Christmas except it’s warmer.” – Pete Rose
“An Opener is not like any other game. There’s that little extra excitement, a faster beating of the heart. … You know that when you win the first one, you can’t lose ‘em all.” - Early Wynn
Fun With Team Names
Planet 10
Willets Point "Mechanics"
Londonderry Machine
Texas Gringos
Newark Slam Dumps
Helena Handbasket
Federal Division
Island Creek Bivalves
Kakadu Didgeridoos
Bridgewater Brazen Beanballers
Hathsin Survivors
Big Dan and the Lady's
Nottingham Outlaws
American Division
Downsouth Brews
Otherton Fish Biscuits
John McDonald Fanclub
DC Chips
Gold Country Gossamers
Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
Saturday, April 23, 2011
Opening Day Matchups Part II
Monday, April 18, 2011
Player Corrections
- I typed them in all wrong. I have a difficult time believing this. Not because of the volume of errors, but the fact they were only on IBBs makes this implausible.
- There was a migration error when upgrading the software to DMB 10. Also unlikely since I have heard no complaints on the forums.
- Baseball reference changed their IBB stats in the past few years and I never noticed.
Real Life Pitching- Team Totals
ERA
1.28 Outlaws
1.83 Gringos
1.85 Beanballers
1.90 Fanclub
1.94 Lady's
1.96 Handbasket
1.96 Fish Biscuits
1.97 Machine
2.02 Survivors
2.04 Brews
2.07 All Stars
2.10 Didgeridoos
2.13 Bivalves
2.14 Sean
2.17 Mechanics
2.20 Gossamers
2.23 Planet 10
2.25 Chips
WHIP
0.92 Outlaws
0.93 Lady's
0.94 Fanclub
0.95 Sean
0.95 Gossamers
0.96 Gringos
0.96 Beanballers
0.96 Machine
0.96 Survivors
0.97 Handbasket
1.00 Fish Biscuits
1.00 All Stars
1.00 Didgeridoos
1.00 Planet 10
1.00 Chips
1.01 Mechanics
1.05 Brews
1.05 Bivalves
K/BB
5.14 Gossamers
3.84 Lady's
3.80 Handbasket
3.72 Chips
3.63 Fanclub
3.63 Sean
3.52 Gringos
3.52 Planet 10
3.16 Fish Biscuits
3.15 Survivors
3.11 Mechanics
3.10 Machine
3.06 All Stars
3.01 Outlaws
2.98 Beanballers
2.90 Didgeridoos
2.62 Bivalves
2.56 Brews
HR/9
0.11 Beanballers
0.19 Outlaws
0.24 Fish Biscuits
0.25 Fanclub
0.30 All Stars
0.30 Didgeridoos
0.31 Chips
0.34 Mechanics
0.34 Machine
0.35 Bivalves
0.36 Lady's
0.37 Gossamers
0.40 Survivors
0.44 Gringos
0.45 Brews
0.47 Handbasket
0.47 Sean
0.58 Planet 10
Innings Pitched
3309 Fish Biscuits
3111 Didgeridoos
3069 Chips
2976 Fanclub
2858 Survivors
2843 Gringos
2806 Brews
2658 Handbasket
2646 Mechanics
2305 Beanballers
2300 All Stars
2245 Planet 10
2233 Sean
2157 Lady's
2144 Machine
2124 Outlaws
1998 Bivalves
1755 Gossamers
Sunday, April 17, 2011
Real Life Batting - Team Totals
Batting Average
0.374 Outlaws
0.347 Bivales
0.347 Machine
0.347 Survivors
0.346 Didgeridoos
0.344 All Stars
0.344 Handbasket
0.344 Sean
0.343 Gossamers
0.338 Planet 10
0.336 Gringos
0.334 Chips
0.332 Mechanics
0.327 Lady/s
0.327 Fanclub
0.326 Beanballers
0.325 Brews
0.321 Fish Biscuits
On Base Percentage
0.430 Outlaws
0.430 Bivalbes
0.430 Sean
0.430 Gossamers
0.429 Machine
0.429 Survivors
0.425 Gringos
0.423 Chips
0.422 Didgeridoos
0.421 Fish Biscuits
0.416 Beanballers
0.414 Lady/s
0.413 Planet 10
0.410 Handbasket
0.409 All Stars
0.406 Fanclub
0.403 Brews
0.399 Mechanics
Slugging
0.654 Fish Biscuits
0.647 Didgeridoos
0.633 Bivalbes
0.627 Chips
0.626 Handbasket
0.623 Gringos
0.621 Brews
0.598 Planet 10
0.597 Machine
0.597 Fanclub
0.590 Mechanics
0.585 Outlaws
0.581 All Stars
0.573 Sean
0.572 Beanballers
0.571 Lady/s
0.549 Survivors
0.519 Gossamers
OPS
1.076 Fish Biscuits
1.069 Didgeridoos
1.063 Bivalbes
1.050 Chip
1.048 Gringos
1.036 Handbasket
1.026 Machine
1.024 Brews
1.015 Outlaws
1.011 Planet 10
1.004 Fanclub
1.002 Sean
0.990 All Stars
0.989 Mechanics
0.988 Beanballers
0.985 Lady/s
0.979 Survivors
0.949 Gossamers
Home Runs
505 Brews
491 Fish Biscuits
478 Didgeridoos
473 Gringos
464 Chips
404 Fanclub
399 Mechanics
394 Handbasket
386 Bivalbes
383 Planet 10
355 Machine
341 Lady/s
299 Beanballers
283 All Stars
278 Sean
268 Outlaws
194 Gossamers
192 Survivors
Doubles
645 Outlaws
644 Chips
601 Didgeridoos
578 Gringos
571 Machine
566 Gossamers
554 Handbasket
547 Sean
537 Bivalbes
536 Planet 10
520 Mechanics
512 Fanclub
504 Lady/s
501 All Stars
486 Brews
461 Beanballers
435 Fish Biscuits
408 Survivors
Triples
171 Bivalbes
170 Outlaws
168 All Stars
161 Gossamers
149 Sean
142 Chips
141 Planet 10
140 Fanclub
138 Didgeridoos
138 Machine
137 Survivors
131 Handbasket
129 Mechanic
125 Lady/s
122 Gringos
112 Beanballers
88 Brews
73 Fish Biscuits
Stolen Bases
450 Machine
429 Gossamers
400 Lady/s
389 Survivors
380 Outlaws
367 All Stars
365 Handbasket
326 Planet 10
323 Mechanics
291 Bivalbes
289 Beanballers
286 Chips
222 Gringos
216 Fanclub
199 Sean
198 Fish Biscuits
191 Didgeridoos
181 Brews
Stolen Base %
78% Mechanics
75% Machine
75% Chips
74% Handbasket
74% Gringos
73% Gossamers
73% Brews
72% Lady/s
71% All Stars
70% Survivors
70% Bivalbes
69% Beanballers
68% Sean
68% Fish Biscuits
67% Didgeridoos
66% Planet 10
65% Outlaws
65% Fanclub
5 Exhibitions
Saturday, April 16, 2011
Opening Day Matchups Part 1
Big Dan and the Lady's vs Hathsin Survivors
Lady Baldwin (11-9, 1.86) vs Walter Johnson (36-7, 1.14)
In the marquis matchup of opening day, the Lady's travel to Hathsin to square off against the Survivors. In the previous two seasons Baldwin has been at the top of his game with a 29-12 record and a 3.43 ERA. He strikes out over 11 batters per nine innings and has become the 2nd starting pitcher taken in ATB drafts.
Johnson, more of a real life great than an ATB great, is till a Top-5 starter. In the past 7 ATB seasons he has averaged a 1.17 WHIP and 3.68 ERA. His win loss record is 93-80.
Otherton Fish Biscuits vs Willets Point Mechanics
Dizzy Dean (30-7, 2.66) vs Greg Maddux (19-2, 1.63)
The Fish Biscuits open on the road with Dizzy Dean on the mound. The Dean of this particular year (1934) has not fared well in the past going 12-24 with a 5.20 ERA in two previous ATB seasons. Countering him is arguably the second best pitcher in the game, Greg Maddux. Maddux has been awesome, owning a career 109-51 record, with a 1.12 WHIP and 2.89 ERA.
Downsouth Brews vs Planet 10
Robin Roberts (28-7, 2.59) vs Kevin Brown (17-11, 1.89)
Finally, Allen and Ivar announced their rotations, with the latter choosing to go with their 27th round pick Robin Roberts. The right hander has had mixed results in previous ATB seasons, the best of which was an ATB XI campaign the resulted in a 3.47 ERA in 103.2 innings. A year later Roberts struggled (5.38 eRA, 1.72 WHIP) and split the difference in ATB XII.
Planet 10 opens at home with Kevin Brown. Brown has appeared in all 7 of the last ATB seasons and has pitched very well in 5 of them, owning a 3.70 ERA in 908 innings. He's struggled in the other two going 11-19 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.64 WHIP.
Several other teams have announced their starting lineups and rotations, but their opponents have yet to do so.
Thursday, April 14, 2011
Final Pre-Season Standings
Final Pre-Season Standings
Draft Complete
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Pre-Season Standings
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Pre-Season Standings
The Age Factor
- Jeff and Mike have the oldest playing age, with their squads averaging over 29 years.
- Kevin has the youngest playing age, only slightly surpassing 25 years.
- In terms of current age, Lou slightly edges Lee with 121 years of experience.
- The youngest average current age belongs to Matt's team, clocking in at 70 years.
Monday, April 11, 2011
Pre-Season Standings
Sunday, April 10, 2011
Exhibition Standings (end of day Sunday, April 10)
Saturday, April 9, 2011
Pre-Season Standings (end of Sat April 9)
Friday, April 8, 2011
Pre-Season Standings
Wednesday, April 6, 2011
Barnstorming Day 2
- 5 Teams
- Computer Draft
- Computer Lineup
- 1 game against each team
Tuesday, April 5, 2011
Barnstorming Day 1
Monday, April 4, 2011
Day 1 Complete
- The team pages have been updated with your selections.
- If you have Tommie Agee -don't, worry. It is just a placeholder until you replace your "Skip". Please make your selections as soon as possible.
- A reminder. Park selection is based upon the order listed in the Google Docs tool (reverse draft order). You aren't 'stealing' a park from someone if your 1st choice is already taken and you have a better position. Please do not hesitate to bump anyone - they stole from you first!
Sunday, April 3, 2011
The Greatest ATB Team of All Time
- All 18 division winners since ATB VI are automatically eligible.
- From here, I took teams with 95+ wins, or
- 150+ Run Differentials, or
- 1000 Runs Scored, or
- Top 3 Team ERA's, or
- Top 20 Pythagorean Records.