Showing posts with label Rightfielders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rightfielders. Show all posts

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Negro League Overview - Right Field


This is an ongoing multi-part series on the new ATB Negro Leaguers that will be available in our next draft.  See here for the other parts


Right fielder's in All Time Baseball, and by extension the major leagues, has historically played as the weakest hitting position among the three outfield spots.  Weakest hitting in terms of OPS anyway, right fielders continue to hit home runs at the prolific rates.  The additional Negro League’s candidates played much the same way.

Heavy Johnson was exactly what his name suggested.  His 250+ pound frame allowed for great power but little agility, and while a liability in the field, Johnson slugged with the best of them.  In his rookie season Johnson won the Triple Crown, batting .406 with 20 home runs and 120 RBI.  A teammate claimed that the bulky outfielder was once sleeping on the bench when he was awoken and told to pinch-hit; he grabbed a fungo bat and hit a home run.

In the 500 resims Johnson recorded the second highest OPS among right fielders, behind only Babe Ruth.  His 1922-1923 seasons resulted in a powerful line: .317 / .364 / .585, with 48 2B, 16 3B, and 31 home runs.  With a Fr/145 defensive rating, Johnson should end up as a DH; only the most daring (read: reckless) owners will allow him to play the field for any length of time.

Among the total player pool (not just right filders) Johnson is unique.  Others have greater power, still others have better on-base skills, but few combine both qualities into a single player. The great sluggers of ATB – Ruth, Bonds, Gehrig, Williams – each had on base averages 70, and sometimes over 100, points better than Johnson.  On the other hand the great bashers of the game – McGwire, Stargell, Greenberg, Foxx, etc – recorded on base averages well below Johnson’s.

He is an obvious first rounder, but as a DH and a step below the ATB elite, it will be interesting to see where owners draft him.

The only other right fielder that might be worth a starting position is Mules Suttles.  A Hall of Famer, Suttles was one of the best hitting Negro Leaguers of all time.  At his best he hit for average, power, and had the ability to draw walks.  From 1926 to 1931 he averaged an OPS over 1.000.

In the resims Suttles kept the power but little else.  He batted .254 / .301 / .480 but with a Pr/65 defensive rating he will likely end up as another DH.  He is almost identical to 1966 Dick Allen, hitting a bit more doubles while giving back a similar amount of home runs.


Friday, February 11, 2011

100 Sim Results - Right Field

These are the results of 100 baseline resims (ended up being 95 seasons due to a silly mistake on my part, though I will continue to call it the 100 sim baseline). Each season was run in neutral parks. Injuries were turned on, each team had a strict 5 man rotation, and the schedule was set for 154 games. To date, we've completed the reviews for designated hitters, catchers, first basemen, second basemen, third basemen, shortstops, left fielders, and center fielders. Here is a link to the full detail by position.

Outside of 1920 Babe Ruth, and to a limited extent 1948 Stan Musial, the right field pool simmed much weaker than what I think most people suspected. Ruth has been confirmed as the best player in ATB, batting .282 / .481 / .630 with 47 HR and 149 RC per season. This puts him on equal footing with Bonds in OBP (Bonds .485) but he outslugs him by over 80 points. He simply has more power – 8 more doubles, 2 more triples, and 11 more home runs. One item to note, on the downside however, Ruth strikes out more than twice as much as Bonds (142 vs 66).

Musial is the only other right fielder with an OPS over .800, batting .293 / .340 / .499 with 24 doubles, 12 triples, and 25 home runs. This is awesome, but compared to Ruth there is just no eye candy.

The third tier of players are roughly equal to each, with 1923 Harry Heilmann, 1997 Larry Walker, and 1911 Joe Jackson each with OPS scores in the low .770s. Heilmann and Jackson the same players with OBP’s in the mid .350s and slug in the .415 range. Walker offers more power (27 HR, .446 SLG) but has a fairly low OBP of .328.

Critical flaws begin to appear in the 4th tier of players. 1966 Frank Robinson, 2001 Sammy Sosa, and 1971 Hank Aaron average around 30 home runs per season but hardly get on base. 1906 Harry Lumley gets on base better than average, but hits under 10 home runs per season.


01) 0.282 / 0.481 / 0.630 - 1920 Ruth,Babe
02) 0.293 / 0.340 / 0.499 - 1948 Musial,Stan
03) 0.296 / 0.358 / 0.414 - 1923 Heilmann,Harry
04) 0.263 / 0.328 / 0.446 - 1997 Walker,Larry
05) 0.308 / 0.355 / 0.416 - 1911 Jackson,Joe

06) 0.249 / 0.317 / 0.420 - 1966 Robinson,Frank

07) 0.234 / 0.299 / 0.438 - 2001 Sosa,Sammy

08) 0.241 / 0.290 / 0.444 - 1971 Aaron,Hank
09) 0.274 / 0.331 / 0.383 - 1906 Lumley,Harry

10) 0.224 / 0.325 / 0.367 - 1996 Sheffield,Gary

11) 0.275 / 0.334 / 0.365 - 1944 Walker,Dixie

12) 0.265 / 0.316 / 0.388 - 1945 Holmes,Tommy

13) 0.301 / 0.337 / 0.345 - 1987 Gwynn,Tony

14) 0.286 / 0.342 / 0.353 - 1936 Waner,Paul

15) 0.302 / 0.336 / 0.347 - 1994 Gwynn,Tony

16) 0.280 / 0.301 / 0.368 - 1967 Clemente,Roberto

17) 0.239 / 0.312 / 0.340 - 1967 Kaline,Al

18) 0.250 / 0.323 / 0.331 - 1884 Shaffer,Orator


Recapping the #1 choices at each position
CA-’86 Kelly - -.310 / .399 / .380, 179 TB
1B-’27 Gehrig - .297 / .375 / .584, 336 TB

2B-’24 Hornsby- .301 / .373 / .444, 260 TB
3B-’80 Brett - -.304 / .351 / .454, 278 TB

SS-’35 Vaughan -.274 / .366 / .381, 226 TB

LF-’02 Bonds - -.292 / .485 / .549, 263 TB

CF-’57 Mantle - .316 / .430 / .480, 270 TB

RF-’20 Ruth - - .282 / .481 / .630, 301 TB
DH-’01 Giambi - .265 / .376 / .418, 227 TB

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

100 Baseline Sims - The Rightfielders

Right Field
15.0 - St RF - Orator Shaffer-1884
14.6 - St RF - Joe Jackson-1911
13.9 - St RF - Frank Robinson-1966
13.8 - St RF - Al Kaline-1967
13.7 - St RF - Roberto Clemente-1967
13.4 - St RF - Sammy Sosa-2001
13.3 - St RF - Harry Heilmann-1923
13.2 - St RF - Larry Walker-1997
13.0 - St RF - Gary Sheffield-1996
13.0 - St RF - Tommy Holmes-1945
12.9 - St RF - Hank Aaron-1971
12.7 - St RF - Harry Lumley-1906
12.6 - St RF - Tony Gwynn-1994
12.5 - St RF - Dixie Walker-1944
12.5 - St RF - Paul Waner-1936