Tuesday, June 9, 2020

Luckiest (and Unluckiest) Teams

By now I think we all know what a Team Pythagorean Record is, but very quickly here is a loose definition: 

A predicted team record based upon their actual runs scored and runs against.  It is generally a very good indicator of team quality, and can be used as a measure of how lucky a team is.  If they are under performing their Pythagorean record they are unlucky, and vice versa.   Additionally, teams with great in-season records usually have a bit of good luck to their credit and the opposite is true as well.

Luckiest Teams So Far
+6: Otterville Valley Otters (63 actual, 57 predicted)
+4: Springfield Isotopes (44 actual, 40 predicted)
+3: Lady Evelyn Walleyes (44 actual, 41 predicted)
+2: Critical Failures (47 actual, 45 predicted)
+2: Cleveland Spiders (42 actual, 40 predicted)
+2: Back Bay Bivalves (45 actual, 43 predicted)
+1: Newport Beach Cole Trains (44 actual, 43 predicted)
+1: Lakeview Zeros (48 actual, 47 predicted)
+1: Birmingham Cloverleafs (44 actual, 43 predicted)

Unluckiest Teams So Far
-6: Downsouth Brews (28 actual, 34 predicted)
-5: Ohio N95ers (35 actual, 40 predicted)
-5: Fox City Foxes (37 actual, 42 predicted)
-4: Shamokin Miners (44 actual, 48 predicted)
-3: Inglorious Batters (53 actual, 56 predicted)
-1: Kansas City Cobblers (48 actual, 49 predicted)

-1: Chattanooga Lookouts (46 actual, 47 predicted)

Teams with No Luck Impact
0: Dayton Toppins (47 actual, 47 predicted)
0: Grumman Hellcats (46 actual, 46 predicted)
0: Manetheren Red Eagles (49 actual, 49 predicted)
0: New Amsterdam Highlanders (39 actual, 39 predicted)
0: Planet 10 Lectroids (22 actual, 22 predicted)
0: Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters (49 actual, 49 predicted)
0: Willets Point "Mechanics" (36 actual, 36 predicted)
0: Wynnewood Tiger Kings (27 actual, 27 predicted)



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