Sim 10A Complete

League Reports

Power Alley "Great 8" - Wk 9

League Reports

Players of the Week - Sim 9

Albert Belle helped John McDonald Fanclub climb back into the Wild Card picture during Week 9. He receives Batter of the Week honors for batting .410 / .429 / .787, 1.216 OPS, 19.5 RC, 6 HR, 12 R, and 21 RBI.




For the second time this season, the DC Chips Joe Neale wins Pitcher of the Week. This time Neale went 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA. In over 20 innings of work he gave up just 12 hits.





League Reports

Power Alley - Week 9

+2: Otherton Fish Biscuits
-6: Kakadu Didgeridoos

League Reports

Standings Summary - Week 9

Great races in two divisions!




League Reports

The Good, the Great, and the Ugly - Week 9

League Reports

Standings Prediction: American Division

It takes very little math to understand Gold Country's 14 game lead is enough to win the division, but three other teams are within 1/2 game of the wild card. Rusty has a tough road schedule ahead of them, while Otherton has the toughest opponents. DC has the weakest schedule and a favorable home schedule, but they're Pythagorean record suggest they are the least likely to move on.




League Reports

Standings Predictions: Federal Division

Following up on yesterday's post regarding the National League. Kakadu has the advantage for the Wild Card and despite just 13 home games (out of 41 remaining) Big Dan looks to hold on for the division crown.



League Reports

Prediction Division Winners Based Upon Strength of Schedule

Here is a quick snapshot of how we can expect our Divisional races to play out. Based upon a teams current Pythagorean Win Percentage, their opponents Pythagorean Win Percentage, and the number of Home vs Away contests, we can predict the final records for each team, and thus the most likely to move onto the playoffs.

Here is how the National League looks to shape up:

• All three hopefuls have virtually the same strength of schedule remaining
• The Handbasket's have the best chance at winning those remaining games because they have the best run differential and the most home games
• This should allow them to make up ground and the numbers predict a divisional tie
• The Slam Dumps have a good team, but play so many road games they likely won't be able to catch the division leaders
  

Here is a summary of the remaining schedules for each team.


Of course, teams will go on major w-l streaks an excel sheet can't predict, so this is akin to playing the averages and has marginal true predictive value.


League Reports

Multiple 40 HR Seasons On One Team

The Fish Biscuits posed me a question over email. Thought the answer might interest a few.

Q: Lou, do the old stats exist to see how often an Atb team has had 2 40 homer guys which OFB should finish with

A: We do!

If you go to the history tab on the ATB home page there is a file with the compiled historical ATB stats by season going back to ATB VI I believe.

I took the liberty of trying to answer this great question :). It is a somewhat rare feat, but not completely out of the ordinary.

• 18 Times teams have had two or more 35 HR+ players. Four teams had three players with this many home runs.
• But only 7 teams have had two 40 HR+ players, and incredibly there was a team with 3
• And the feat of the Slammers in ATB VIII will never be duplicated – two 60 HR players!

• 130 HR – St Louis Slammers (ATB VIII): Mark McGwire (67), Babe Ruth (60)
• 122 HR – Phoenix Coyotes (ATB VI): Mark McGwire (42), Hank Aaron (40), Frank Robinson (40)
• 103 HR – Art Vandalay (ATB IX): Mark McGwire (57), Mike Schmidt (46)
• 96 HR – Absurdville Madness (ATB X): Willie Stargell (50), Hank Greenberg (46)
• 92 HR – Franklin Lakes Pillpoppers (ATB VIII): Reggie Jackson (49), Dick Allen (43)
• 85 HR – Duke Street Kings (ATB XI): Mickey Mantle (44), Ralph Kiner (41)
• 85 HR – Lake Hopatcong Marauders (ATB VIII): Frank Robinson (43), Willie McCovey (42)

League Reports