Sunday, May 31, 2020

Sim 6A Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Quick Reminder: Trade Deadline is July 31st Sim Time

That is in the middle of Sim 9A, so for our purposes the deadline is really the end of Week 8. 

That Sunday, 5PM Eastern, just as lineups are due for Sim 9, will be the actual trade deadline.

Week 6 Transactons


  • Lakeview picks up Frank Fennely 1884, release Francisco Lindor
  • Lakeview picks up Jose Mesa 1995, release Hoyt Wilhelm
  • Birmingham picks up Kiki Cuyler 1925, release Brett Cecil
  • Birmingham picks up Mike Minor 2017, release Ellis Burks
  • Birmingham activates Eric Gagne, drops Robb Nen
  • Otterville activates Liam Hendriks, drops Blake Snell
  • Dayton picks up Monte Irvin 1951, drops Cy Williams
  • Dayton picks up Billy Herman 1935, drops Jimmy Ryan
  • Chatanooga picks up Egardo Alfonso 2000, drops Matt Carpenter
  • Ohio picks up Dave Parker 1978, drops Roger Maris
  • Manetheren picks up Mike Cuellar 1959, drops Don Drysdale

Richardson for McCutchen Trade

To Dayton:  Andrew McCutchen (.349 / .379 / 460, Vg defense in Cf
To Cleveland: Hardy Richardson (.236 / .267 / .282, Vg defense at 2B)

Friday, May 29, 2020

Vern Law - the Next Top 10 Pitcher?

1960 World Series - Game 7: NY Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates
Vern Law of 1959, well, of any year really, went un-drafted 13 consecutive seasons until ATB 13.  That year, the infamous Justin B (who changed ATB forever by paying attention to defense) picked up the right-hander as a Free Agent and it was a disaster - 6.82 ERA in limited duties.

That was enough for owners to stay away in ATB 15, but Sean S's Sparta Hoplites took a mid-round gamble the following season selecting him in the 16th round.  It paid off.  In decisive hitters park Law had 13 Wins with a 3.91 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.

Sean was on to something and Justin P knew it, selecting Law in the 12th round the following season.  He continued to impress, this time with a 12 Wins, a 3.52 ERA, and a tidy 1.13 WHIP

Unfortunately ATB 18 is lost to me, but at the All Star Break I saw a blog post where he had 5 wins and a 2.95 ERA.  That season Mike S drafted him 12th, I hope it ended well for him.

Which brings us to Jason B's Otterville Valley success in ATB 19.  Law is on fire:  11-0, 1.36 ERA, 99 IP, 89 H, 21 BB, 1.11 WHIP, 2.23 RCERA.  He leads ATB in both complete games and shutouts.

Drafted in the 14th, the former Pirate is the steal of the draft so far.



Players of the Week

AL BATTER
Babe Ruth, Willets Point "Mechanics"
.341 / .462 / .976, 1.437 OPS, 2 2B, 8 HR, 15 R, 17 RBI, 15.0 RC/27

NL BATTER
Bobby Murcer, Lady Evelyn Walleyes
.420 / .482 / .660, 1.142 OPS, 3 2B, 3 3B, 1 HR, 14 R, 7 RIB, 13.5 RC/27

AL PITCHER
Randy Johnson, New Amsterdam Highlanders
2-1, 0.36 ERA, 25 IP, 12 H, 2 BB, 18 K, 2 CG, 1 SHO, 0.56 WHIP

NL PITCHER
Gabe White, Inglorious Batters
1-0, 0.00 ERA, 9 Sv, 15 IP, 8 H, 2 BB, 6 K, 0.67 WHIP, 0.84 RCERA

Thursday, May 28, 2020

Power Alley Week 5


+6 Inglorious Batters
+4 Lady Evelyn Walleyes
+3 Dayton Toppins

-3 Back Bay Bivalves
-6 Newport Beach Cole Trains
-6 Cleveland Spiders

Sim 5E Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Tuesday, May 26, 2020

Pinch Hitting Stats by Team

The most interesting aspect to me is the difference in manager tendencies - Failures have 50 total plate appearances so far while the Lectroids have 177
Click to Enlarge

Team Records When Scoring At Least 5 Runs

Team             W     L     Pct.   
Walleyes         23    1     .958   
Spiders          20    1     .952   
Batters          20    2     .909   
Cole Trains      29    3     .906   
Cobblers         26    3     .897   
Valley Otters    35    6     .854   
Pinata Beaters   23    4     .852   
Bivalves         19    4     .826   
Zeros            28    6     .824   
Hellcats         21    5     .808   
Red Eagles       32    8     .800   
Toppins          16    4     .800   
Lookouts         19    5     .792   
Failures         29    8     .784   
Highlanders      21    8     .724   
Miners           25    10    .714   
Cloverleafs      19    8     .704   
Lectroids        7     3     .700   
Isotopes         18    8     .692   
"Mechanics"      18    9     .667   
N95ers           22    12    .647   
Foxes            18    15    .545   
Brews            8     7     .533   
Tiger Kings      13    13    .500   
Totals           509   153   .769   

Starter and Reliever Innings Pitched Per Game

Starters
7.0 - Hellcats
6.7 - Cobblers
6.5 - Toppins
6.3 - Brews
6.3 - Batters
6.2 - Zeros
6.1 - Highlanders
6.1 - Miners
6.1 - Isotopes
6.1 - Pinata Beaters
6.0 - Failures
6.0 - Lookouts
5.9 - Cole Trains
5.9 - N95ers
5.9 - Spiders
5.8 - Lectroids
5.7 - Cloverleafs
5.5 - "Mechanics"
5.5 - Bivalves
5.5 - Tiger Kings
5.4 - Walleyes
5.3 - Foxes
5.2 - Red Eagles
4.8 - Valley Otters

Relievers
4.3 - Valley Otters
3.7 - Red Eagles
3.7 - Foxes
3.6 - Walleyes
3.5 - Tiger Kings
3.3 - Bivalves
3.3 - "Mechanics"
3.2 - Spiders
3.2 - Cole Trains
3.2 - Cloverleafs
3.1 - Pinata Beaters
3.1 - N95ers
3.1 - Lectroids
3.1 - Failures
3.0 - Zeros
3.0 - Isotopes
2.9 - Miners
2.9 - Lookouts
2.9 - Highlanders
2.8 - Batters
2.7 - Brews
2.6 - Cobblers
2.5 - Toppins

2.2 - Hellcats


Sim 5C Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Sunday, May 24, 2020

Sim 5A Complete

Sorry for the delay!

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Week 5 Transactions

  • Birmingham DLs Eric Gagne; activates Ron Guidry
  • Birmingham signs Matt Capps 2007; drops Mike Adams
  • Birmingham signs Jeff Reardon 1988; drops Jose Mendez
  • Birmingham activates Russell Martin and releases him.
  • Lakeview signs Claude Hendrix 1914; drops Andy Cooper
  • Manetheren signs Rick Aguilera 1999; drops Blake Parker
  • Manatheren signs Don Drysdale 1957; drops Ben Sheets
  • Newport Beach signs Zack Cozart 2017; drops Carlos Correa
  • Shamokin sings Dan Otero 2016; drops Steve Ontiveros
  • Springfield signs Bid McPhee 1896; drops Troy Glaus
  • Spanish Harlem signs Jimmy Sheckard 1901 ; drops Chino Smith
  • Otterville signes Bill Risley 1994; DLs Liam  Hendricks
  • Lady Evelyn signs Jose Valverde 2003; drops Candy Nelson
  • Ohio signs Frendando Valenzuela 1981; drops Shoehei Ohtani

Fred Dunlap Hit Chart

His 90 hits leads ATB


Singles
Doubles
Triples
Home Runs

Saturday, May 23, 2020

Park Batting Averages

Park                       Hits   At Bats   Avg.   Home
Dunn Field                 599    2087      .287   OVO      
Sportsman's Park III (N)   547    1920      .285   MRE      
Redland Field              612    2213      .277   BC      
Kauffman Stadium           602    2171      .277   ON      
Tropicana Field            551    2014      .274   FCF      
West Side Grounds          469    1789      .262   CF      
Three Rivers Stadium       485    1871      .259   SI      
Yankee Stadium             496    1956      .254   WTK      
Rogers Centre              433    1711      .253   LEW      
Ebbets Field               424    1680      .252   WPM      
Astrodome                  527    2098      .251   LZ      
Olympic Stadium            508    2030      .250   SM      
Fenway Park                505    2024      .250   BBB      
Sun Life Stadium           479    1920      .249   NCT      
Target Field               472    1930      .245   SPB      
Exposition Park            491    2001      .245   GH     
League Park II             483    1974      .245   CS      
Shea Stadium               402    1692      .238   NAM      
RFK Stadium                449    1932      .232   CL      
Forbes Field               491    2135      .230   IB     
Palace of the Fans         445    1955      .228   P10      
Connie Mack Stadium        456    2033      .224   DB      
Candlestick Park           431    1989      .217   KCC      
Washington Park            346    1713      .202   DT  

Friday, May 22, 2020

Opponents Stolen Base Percentages

Team              SB   CS   SB%    G    
 Bivalves         65   22   74.7   54   
 Red Eagles       30   11   73.2   55   
 Isotopes         45   17   72.6   54   
 Tiger Kings      58   22   72.5   55   
 Walleyes         85   33   72.0   55   
 Foxes            49   20   71.0   56   
 Zeros            41   17   70.7   57   
 Valley Otters    64   27   70.3   55   
 Brews            46   21   68.7   55   
 "Mechanics"      47   22   68.1   54   
 N95ers           44   22   66.7   58   
 Highlanders      44   24   64.7   54   
 Cloverleafs      44   24   64.7   57   
 Hellcats         40   22   64.5   56   
 Lookouts         38   21   64.4   58   
 Failures         29   16   64.4   52   
 Cole Trains      46   26   63.9   53   
 Lectroids        33   19   63.5   57   
 Pinata Beaters   25   15   62.5   55   
 Spiders          38   23   62.3   55   
 Batters          27   21   56.3   57   
 Miners           33   27   55.0   55   
 Cobblers         30   28   51.7   57   
 Toppins          18   23   43.9   56 

Consecutive Game Defensive Ineptitude

We all grumble over defense this year, and this may put the situation in a new light for teams at the top.  Here are each teams worst error streaks.

Consecutive Games with an Error
30 - Brews (April 23 -- May 25)
20 - Red Eagles (April 30 -- May 21)
20 - Failures (April 7 -- April 30)
20 - Cobblers (May 7 -- May 28)
17 - Bivalves (May 14 -- Still Active)
17 - N95ers (May 8 -- May 25)
16 - Batters (April 2 -- April 19)
16 - Foxes (April 30 -- May 17)
15 - Valley Otters (April 1 -- April 18)
15 - Lookouts (April 1 -- April 16)
14 - Spiders (April 5 -- April 21)
11 - Toppins (April 1 -- April 12)
11 - Cloverleafs (April 27 -- May 8)
11 - Miners (April 1 -- April 15)
10 - Zeros (April 20 -- April 30)
10 - Hellcats (May 11 -- May 22)
10 - Isotopes (May 12 -- May 22)
 9 - Highlanders (April 5 -- April 15)
 8 - Mechanics (May 13 -- May 22)
 8 - Tiger Kings (May 15 -- May 23)
 8 - Cole Trains (May 11 -- May 19)
 8 - Lectroids (April 5 -- April 13)
 7 - Walleyes (April 11 -- April 19)
 7 - Pinata Beaters (April 21 -- April 28)

Thursday, May 21, 2020

Braxton Faces the Minimum

What a night for Garland Braxton.  The ace of the Manetheren Red Eagles has struggled at times this year, giving up 4 runs or more in 8 of his 12 starts.  Tonight he had his best stuff and put a hurtin' on the "Mechanics" of Willets Point.

After yielding a lead-off infield single to the first batter of the game, on a 1-2 pitch to Pete Hill, Braxton induced a double play from the big bat of Dan Brouthers.  That was literally all for Willets Point - no other batter would reach base and Braxton would end oh-so-close to perfection.

His final line:
9 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 K, and a paltry 80 pitches.  He only reached a count with 3 balls once.

The Red Eagles won going away in a 5-run, 13 hit affair

Week 4 Power Alley


+5 Lady Evelyn Walleyes
+4 Dayton Toppins
+3 Manetheren Red Eagles

-4 Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
-7 Willets Point "Mechanics"
-6 Downsouth Brews

Sim 4E Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Hard to believe, but week four is in the books and we are about to turn the Sim calendar to June.  Hope everyone is safe and healthy!

Players of the Week

AL BATTER
Willie Stargell (FCF)*
.305 / .379 / .864, 1.243 OPS, 6 2B, 9 HR, 17 R, 21 RBI, 20 RC

NL BATTER
Oscar Charleston (SPB)
.429 / .492 / .696, 1.189 OPS, 5 HR, 12 R, 15 RBI, 15.0 RC/27

AL PITCHER
Nip Witers (SM)
4-0, 1.32 ERA, 34 IP, 21 H, 6 BB, 20 K, 1.52 RCERA

NL PITCHER
Ed Siever (DT)^
3-0. 1.13 ERA, 24 IP, 16 H, 3 BB, 0.79 WHIP

*Tip o the cap the Nap Lajoie (NCT) for 14.9 RC/27
^Just traded from Spanish Harlem to Dayton

Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Sim 4C Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm


Manetheren and Ohio Swaps Starters

To Ohio:  Deacon Philippe (4-2, 3.04 ERA)
To Manetheren:  Pete Alexander (2-5, 3.11 ERA)

Starter and Reliever Team ERAs

Starter ERAs
2.33 - Brews
2.54 - Batters
2.70 - Pinata Beaters
2.74 - Hellcats
2.88 - Lookouts
3.12 - Toppins
3.16 - Cobblers
3.45 - Zeros
3.46 - Bivalves
3.53 - Cole Trains
3.60 - Isotopes
3.70 - Valley Otters
3.79 - Highlanders
4.01 - Lectroids
4.05 - Miners
4.19 - Failures
4.22 - Cloverleafs
4.24 - Spiders
4.37 - Red Eagles
4.47 - Walleyes
4.67 - Tiger Kings
4.68 - "Mechanics"
4.89 - Foxes
4.99 - N95ers

Reliever ERAs
2.04 - Batters
2.15 - Cole Trains
2.50 - Pinata Beaters
2.87 - Cobblers
2.96 - Valley Otters
2.96 - "Mechanics"
3.01 - Spiders
3.11 - Hellcats
3.15 - Zeros
3.15 - Walleyes
3.16 - Lookouts
3.23 - Bivalves
3.33 - Failures
3.40 - Highlanders
3.51 - Miners
3.60 - Brews
3.69 - Red Eagles
3.73 - Lectroids
3.73 - Cloverleafs
3.85 - Toppins
4.30 - Isotopes
4.52 - Foxes
5.00 - N95ers
5.85 - Tiger Kings

Monday, May 18, 2020

Injury Summary - The lucky and Unlucky

102 days lost, 11 injuries - BC
 97 days lost, 12 injuries - BBB
 75 days lost,  9 injuries - NAM
 70 days lost, 11 injuries - WPM
 58 days lost,  6 injuries - NCT
 52 days lost,  7 injuries - CL
 52 days lost,  8 injuries - SI
 48 days lost,  8 injuries - SPB
 41 days lost,  7 injuries - FCF
 34 days lost,  5 injuries - DB
 31 days lost,  3 injuries - WTK
 28 days lost,  7 injuries - P10
 23 days lost,  7 injuries - SM
 23 days lost,  8 injuries - CS
 23 days lost,  5 injuries - CF
 21 days lost,  5 injuries - ON
 17 days lost,  5 injuries - IB
 15 days lost, 11 injuries - GH
 10 days lost,  4 injuries - OVO
 10 days lost,  7 injuries - LZ
  8 days lost,  4 injuries - KCC
  5 days lost,  5 injuries - MRE
  0 days lost,  1 injuries - DT
  0 days lost,  1 injuries - LEW

The AL Central - the Best of the Best

Every team in the AL Central has a record above .500. 
Every team in the AL Central has a positive Run Differential. 
Every team in the AL Central is having a winning Sim 4, it is easily the best place to watch or participate in a baseball game right now.

The AL Central is 53-25 vs the AL West. 
Games against the AL East start at the end of Sim 4; Watch out Otterville, we are coming for you!

Sim 4B Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Rose Takes the Helm for Ohio

Ray Kinsella was fired by the Ohio N95ers today. The team (17-29) had lost 7 of its last 8 games prior to his departure. Kinsella said to reporters as he was cleaning out his office, "When Gambz hired me to 'go the distance,' I thanked him, but there is too much ------- pain on this ballclub for any one man to ease."

Pete Rose is the N95ers' new player-manager. "The timing couldn't have been better," he said. "The horse tracks just opened back up yesterday, and I need the extra money."

(Thanks Gambz for the submission!)

Week 3 Players of the Week

A little late!

AL BATTER
Fred Dunlap, Otter Valley
.421 / .460 / .614, 1.074 OPS, 15.8 RC, 4 2B, 2 3B, HR, 11 RBI, 10 RBI

AL BATTER
George Brett, Lakeview
.457 / .479 / .783, 1.262 OPS, 19.2 RC/27, 2 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 10 R, 8 RBI

AL PITCHER
Bill Howry, Critical
1-0, 13 G, 0.00 ERA, 24 IP, 11 H, 8 BB, 7 K, 0.79 WHIP, 0.85 RCERA

NL PITCHER
JJ Putz, Kansas City
2-1, 19 G, 0.96 ERA, 28 IP, 11 H, 7 BB, 16 K, 0.64 WHIP, 0.58 RCERA

Sunday, May 17, 2020

Sim 4A Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Week 4 Transactions

  • Birmingham signs Adam Wainright 2010; drops Wilbur Wood (28)
  • Birmingham signs Mike Adams 2011; drops Clay Buchholz (28)
  • Birmingham signs Jose Mendez 1910; drops Jimmy Sheckard (28)
  • Birmingham DL's then drops Russel Martin; signs 1967 Bill Freeehan (28)
  • Spanish Harlem signs Chino Smith 1927; drops Jack Rowe
  • Spanish Harlem activates Monty Stratton; drops Dick Donovan
  • Chatanooga Paul LoDuca 2001; drops Thurmon Munson
  • Ohio signs Rawley Eastwick 1976; drops Gene Garber
  • Ohio signs Tom Burgmeir 1980; drops Al Holland
  • Ohio signs Jim Bouton 1963; drops Claude Hendrix
  • Ohio signs Fred Snodgrass 1910; drops Juan Soto
  • Manetheren signs Ben Sheets 2004; drops Rich Hill
  • Springfield actives Jose Altuve; drops Daniel Murphy
Retro
  • Willets Point activates Max Scherzer; drops Bill Hands

Beaters and Toppins Add to the Trade Frenzy

To Spanish Harlem: Bill Bernhard (3-4, 4.69 ERA) and Tommy Tucker (139 AB, .654 OPS)
To Dayton:  Ed Siever (6-2, 1.82 ERA) and Todd Helton (131 AB, .809 OPS)

Home Run Data

Home Run Rate By Park
Park                       HRs   Games   HRs/G   
League Park II             44    20      2.2     
Olympic Stadium            38    19      2.0     
Rogers Centre              32    18      1.8     
Sportsman's Park III (N)   32    18      1.8     
Yankee Stadium             33    19      1.7     
Ebbets Field               26    15      1.7     
Tropicana Field            34    21      1.6     
West Side Grounds          29    20      1.5     
Shea Stadium               29    20      1.5     
Kauffman Stadium           34    23      1.5     
Sun Life Stadium           28    20      1.4     
Three Rivers Stadium       27    19      1.4     
Candlestick Park           29    21      1.4     
Washington Park            26    20      1.3     
Palace of the Fans         24    19      1.3     
Connie Mack Stadium        27    23      1.2     
Redland Field              28    23      1.2     
RFK Stadium                26    22      1.2     
Forbes Field               31    26      1.2     
Target Field               16    15      1.1     
Dunn Field                 26    26      1.0     
Fenway Park                20    20      1.0     
Astrodome                  19    23      0.8      
Exposition Park            12    22      0.5   


# of Games with More than 1 HR Given Up
Teams           #
Miners          14
N95ers          11
Isotopes        9
Failures        9
"Mechanics"     9
Toppins         8
Foxes           8
Cloverleafs     8
Spiders         7
Brews           7
Red Eagles      7
Cole Trains     7
Hellcats        6
Lectroids       6
Lookouts        6
Highlanders     5
Walleyes        5
Tiger Kings     5
Cobblers        5
Batters         5
Pinata Beaters  5
Zeros           3
Valley Otters   3

Bivalves        1

Saturday, May 16, 2020

Bagwell, Bellinger Headline 5 Player Blockbuster

Planet 10 is cleaning house!

  • To Birmingham:  Jeff Bagwell (86 AB, .649 OPS) and Bob Gibson (1-6, 3.62 ERA)
  • To Planet 10: Cody Bellinger (140 AB, .720 OPS) Luis Tiant (2-6, 6.75 ERA), and Jack Chesbro (0-4, 5.64 ERA)

Jethroe the Pete; Ohio and Planet 10 Make a Trade

Sam Jethroe (.656 OPS, 197 AB) heads to Planet 10
Pete Alexander (2-4, 2.32 ERA) heads to Ohio

Friday, May 15, 2020

Power Alley - Week 3

Also, I know there a few emails out there to me today that I haven't responded too.  Work got the best of me, but will get back to everyone tomorrow.  


+8 Back Bay Bivalves
+7 Inglorious Batters
+7 Shamokin Miners
+6 Chattanooga Lookouts
+5 Kansas City Cobblers

-5 Lakeview Zeros
-6 Springfield Isotopes
-8 Downsouth Brews
-5 Ohio N95ers

Thursday, May 14, 2020

Sim 3E Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Ohio and Dayton Trade Struggling Batters

Ohio sends Omar Vizquel (25 G, 6 AB) to Dayton in exchange for Roger Maris (24 AB, 2 H) and Joe Cronin (25 AB, 2 H)

As a result of this transaction Ohio needs to remove someone from their 28 man roster, Tom Glavine (1-3, 5.32 ERA) will be released

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Sim 3D Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Quick Red Eagles vs N95ers Broadcast Tonight 9PM

Gambz double dog dared me, I could not resist

Extra Base Hit Rates between ATB 18 and 19

Mike N and I had a conversation over email that may be interesting to a wider audience.

Question:  Given that the 1906 era changes so much about the game, why do we see errors increasing at incredible rates, but we do not see Home Runs being reduced at expected rates?

Long Winded Answer: 
Fielding is binary, ball hit to fielder, fielder gets a "roll of the dice" so to speak, and the outcome is a catch or an error.  I assume it is easy to program this.  And over a long enough period of the time, the fielding percentages match what is expected for the combination of era and fielder quality.

Increase the error rate in an era, the DMB game engine can simply increase the errors in sim play.

The batting/pitching results are not binary - so much more has to go into the calculation.  On every pitch they have to consider the batter/pitcher matchup, the park, the fielding, the dozen or so player ratings, the weather, etc.

What is more important to the game engine - maintaining 70 HR's from Mark McGwire, or the home run rate in the dead ball era?  The engine has to thread that fine line - how much does it suppress great hitting from other era's?  I don't know how they exactly do this.

Add in the fact that every darn hitter we use is elite (plus every pitcher) and I think the engine just makes a bunch of judgement calls.

I found some old files from ATB 18 to compare certain stats.  It is a fair comparison I think, since we are using the same general player population and the only variable is the different eras.   Only concern I see is that ATB 19 is only has 5 or 6 weeks of data.

Here are stats on an at bat basis, a HR every X amount of AB type of thing
          ATB19    ATB18    % DIff
HR         50        41       -18%
3B         56       171       +67%
2B         50        20       +60%
K           8         6       +25%

To make sure we understand the first line, ATB 19 sees home runs every 50 at bats, while last ATB season, home runs were more prolific, coming at a rate of 1 every 41 at bats.

My unconfirmed conclusion is that the 1906 era is having a profound effect on ATB, but less so for Home Runs than other stats. 

As mentioned, I do think throwing only all time greats into a single league can wreak havoc on any era we choose.  I also believe this is why some of our all time favorite players just don't stack up well - Bob Gibson, Sandy Koufax, Albert Pujols, etc. 

Tuesday, May 12, 2020

Sim 3B Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

Ohio N95ers Player Predictions for the Red Eagles Series

Ohio and Manetheren face off this week. Here are some N95ers' predictions.

CF Sam Jethroe: "We'll beat them like a rented mule."
DH Turkey Stearnes: "Prediction? PAIN!"
RF Bryce Harper: "That's a clown question, bro. Of course we'll kick some ---."
Manager Ray Kinsella: "If you build it, they will come. Wait a minute, wrong quote. Sorry. I'm pretty ------- hungover. We'll smoke them."
3B Pete Rose: "We better win. I've got a bunch of money on us to sweep."
P Eddie Cicotte: "Oh no. I have a bunch of money on us to lose."
P Shohei Ohtani: "アメリカは奇妙な国です"*

Thanks Gambz for the post!

* Comish agrees with this one!

You Missing Out if You Aren't Watching Kevin James on YouTube


Best and Worst Starts for the Newly Created Players

Pitchers (Minimum 25 IP)

Batters (minimum 40 PA)

Pete Reiser: 4/ltp.2x2(4);1x1(43)

4/ltp.2x2(4);1x1(43)

I think that is the first time I've noticed "ltp" in the scoresheet section of one of our box scores.  For the uninitiated, that stands for Lined into Triple Play.  Here's what happened to Pistol Pete on April 27th.

Down by a run to the Spiders, the Zero's looked ready to put up a crooked number in the top half the 7th when a walk and two singles plated a run to tie the game and put runners on 1st and 2nd with nobody out.

Reiser strode the plate and lined the 3-2 offering from Scott Downs directly at the Spiders second basemen, Bret Boone. 

  • Boone caught it - 4/ltp.2x2(4);1x1(43)
  • Stepped on second catching Bill Terry off the bag - 4/ltp.2x2(4);1x1(43)
  • and tossed it to Jack Clark at first before Roberto Clemente made it back to the bag himself - 4/ltp.2x2(4);1x1(43)

The play was arguably a game winner, as the Spiders went on to win by two.


Monday, May 11, 2020

Sim 3B Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm


The Tale of Two Walters

By all accounts The Big Train is off to a good start - 54 IP, 24 H, 11 BB, 30 K with opponents batting just .131 against him.  Yet somehow the right handed flamethrower is just 3-3 for the Dayton Toppins.

How is this possible you say?  This has to be one of the more interesting game logs

Click to enlarge
  • In his 3 wins:  3 Shutouts, 3 1-hitters, 4 BB, 15 K, 0.00 ERA*
  • In his 3 losses: 5.13 ERA, 19 IP, 6 BB, 8 K
*Tip o' the cap to Joe V for sending this in:  So here is an odd stat......Walter Johnson is 3-3.  All three wins are 1-hitters.  Two of those he gave up hits in the first inning, and in the last one he had a no-hitter into the 6th.

Sunday, May 10, 2020

Sim 3A Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

And a thank you to the mothers out there who put up with our strange hobbies!

Week 3 Transactions

Pretty sure this is a record
  • Lakeview picks up Jimmy Rollins 2007; drops Terry Turner
  • Spanish Harlem DLs Monty Stratton; picks up Joe Horlen 1964
  • Dayton picks up Bruce Ruffin 1996, drops Eddie Plank
  • Dayton picks up Adam Ottavino 2018; drops Scott Atchison
  • Dayton picks up Cy Williams 1924; drops Earl Averill
  • Shamokin picks up Jeff Montgomery 1993; drops Rick Aguilera
  • Highlanders activate Willie Wells from DL; drop Bert Dorr
  • Chattanooga Hikeki Okajima 2007; drops Tony Watson
  • Springfield DLs Jose Altuve; picks up Danny Murphy 2016
  • Otter Valley picks up Damaso Marte 2003; drops Chino Smith
  • Birmingham picks up Ellis Burks 1996; drops Josh Donaldson
  • Birmingham picks up Juan Guzman 1996; drops Felix Hernandez
  • Birmingham DL's Preacher Roe, picks up Atlee Hammacker 1983
  • Birmingham picks up Clay Buchholz 2013; drops Doug Brocail
  • Kansas City picks up Kyle Hendricks 2016; drops Kid Nichols
  • Newport Beach DLs Joe Sambito; picks up Mike Tiernan 1896

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Two Amazing Bases Loaded Stats


What's more incredible?

  • The Pinata Batters .550 average with the bases loaded?
  • Or the fact the Toppins have only loaded the bases twice?

Friday, May 8, 2020

SimNotes - Pitcher Edition

Relievers Used Per Game
Team              Rel/G   Games   
 Valley Otters    3.4     28      
 Walleyes         2.8     28      
 Lectroids        2.4     28      
 Zeros            2.3     30      
 Toppins          2.3     29      
 Isotopes         2.2     27      
 Foxes            2.1     27      
 Tiger Kings      2.1     27      
 Spiders          2.1     26      
 Cobblers         2.1     29      
 Cloverleafs      2.1     27      
 Pinata Beaters   2.1     28      
 Batters          2.1     28      
 Lookouts         2.0     29      
 N95ers           2.0     29      
 Miners           1.8     26      
 Bivalves         1.8     25      
 Cole Trains      1.7     25      
 "Mechanics"      1.7     27      
 Red Eagles       1.7     26      
 Highlanders      1.7     29      
 Failures         1.6     26      
 Brews            1.5     28      
 Hellcats         1.4     28  

Most Pitches Thrown
Pitcher         Team       Pitches P/Start
 JohnsonRandy Highlanders 716 90
 BrownDave Miners         623 89
 Glavine N95ers         676 97
 Hubbell Cobblers 704 88
 Brecheen Zeros         698 87
 Mathewson Highlanders 698 100
 Darwin         Miners         650 93
 Cicotte N95ers         593 85
 BrownKevin Cobblers 636 91
 Clemens Isotopes 682 97
 Marichal Zeros         650 81
 Haren         Highlanders 635 91
 WoodJoe Zeros         593 85
 Smoltz         Cobblers 708 101

 Pierce         Zeros          608 87

Most Pitches Thrown in a Start
Pitcher                           #         Date                 
 Arrieta ( Foxes )                154     April 14           
 JohnsonRandy (Highlanders)       152     April 18             
 Hendrix ( N95ers )               150     April 8         
 Hendrix ( N95ers )               147     April 26            
 Schilling ( Failures )           144     April 16
 Hendrix ( N95ers )               144     April 13         
 Hendrix ( N95ers )               143     April 3        
 Luque ( Bivalves )               142     April 15           
 Gooden ( Brews )                 142     April 10           
 Verlander ( Failures )           141     April 1           
 Guidry ( Cloverleafs )           141     April 13            
 Reuschel ( Red Eagles )          141     April 25            
 Potter ( Cole Trains )           140     April 28           



Week 2 Power Alley


+11 Springfield
+7 Manetheren
+6 Kansas City
+5 Cleveland

-6 Downsouth
-7 Back Bay
-8 Inglorious
-10 Lady Evelyn

Thursday, May 7, 2020

Week 2 Players of the Week

AL BATTER
Lou Gehrig (Fox City)
.441 / .468 / .932, 1.400 OPS, 5 2B, 6 3B, 4 HR, 13 R, 12 RBI, 20.6 RC27

NL BATTER
Jack Clark (Cleveland)
.322 / .394 / .729, 1.123 OPS, 2B, 3B, 7 HR, 12 R, 15 RBI, 17 RC

AL PITCHER
Nip Winters (Shamokin)
1 W, 3 GS, 21.2 IP, 12 H, 0.00 ERA, 2 BB, 13 K, 1 SHO

NL PITCHER
Mike Scott (Cobblers)
1 W, 3 GS, 22.0 IP, 11 H, 1.23 ERA, 3 BB, 15 K, 1 SHO

Sim 2E Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

How Good Is Otter Valley?

With 4 seasons of 90 or more wins, and one amazing 109 victory campaign, Jason B is no stranger to success in ATB.  However, Jason's squads were never quite good enough to bring home the overall title.  At the risk of a full fledged jinx, ATB 19 may be an entirely different story.

After 9 seasons running the John McDonald Fanclub, this year of overall life change also brought change to the classic JMF moniker - the franchise moved to Otter Valley.  The reasons are unclear, but the results are crystal - with the best run differential in the game with a projected win total of 123, Otter Valley is the best team in ATB.

How is he accomplishing this?  By bludgeoning opponents into submission.  The Otters lead ATB in all the slash categories, plus OPS, Runs Created, Total Bases, and Runs Scored Per Game.   How's this for a lineup

1) .284 / .355 / .321 - Tris Speaker, CF
2) .287 / .321 / .412 - Lip Ike, LF
3) .371 / .424 / .567 - Fred Dunlap, 2B
4) .414 / .468 / .596 - Harry Heilmann, DH
5) .386 / .422 / .436 - Buck Leonard, 1B
6) .291 / .361 / .400 - Ross Youngs, RF
7) .353 / .397 / .549 - Deacon White, C
8) .283 / .353 / .500 - Howard Johnson, 3B
9) .323 / .337 / .376 - Dobie Moore, SS

Their bench is impressive as well, with Charley Jones (.766 OPS), Al Kaline (.767), and Buddy Bell all putting up solid numbers.

I know what you are thinking, many of these players are experiencing career year type of results and there will likely be regression to the mean.  Perhaps this is true, but also consider the park factors of 1918 Dunn Field - 110 / 128 / 126 / 40.  With a total of only 8 team home runs all year, this team was built for high average and in-park extra base hits and so far it is working.

123 wins?  No, but this team is legitimately impressive and could challenge the Franchise Record of 109 wins.

Does It Help to Play a Real Life Deadball Player in our 1906 league Era?

Probably Not

These charts categorize each player in terms of the "era" - the deadball era, the steroid era, or any other.  Regardless of batting or pitching, players in the deadball era have among the worst results so far this sim.

Main Caveat - they may always have the worst results, I don't have a baseline to compare them too.


Wednesday, May 6, 2020

Sim 2D Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

SimNotes


  • Ohio has scored 31 1st inning runs this year; Planet 10 just 1
  • Planet 10 has allowed 22 runs in the first inning this year; Back Bay just 5
  • On April 16th the Otters trailed the N95'ers 11-2, but scored 9 in the 7th and eventually won 14-11
  • Harry Heilman (Otters) had an 8 game RBI streak between Apr 9 and Apr 18
  • Paul Waner (Hellcats), Jim Gentile (Failures), and Fancisco Lindor (Zeros) all had 5 game error streaks, Lindor's is still active
  • Meaningless Stat:  Mark Eichorn (Cobblers) has a .425 opponents OPS when the wind is at least 25 MPH
Starter ERAs by Team
1.68 - Brews
2.43 - Pinata Beaters
2.65 - Cole Trains
2.80 - Zeros
2.91 - Hellcats
2.93 - Batters
3.05 - Cobblers
3.36 - Bivalves
3.55 - Toppins
3.66 - Lookouts
3.77 - Highlanders
3.88 - Cloverleafs
3.97 - "Mechanics"
4.06 - Red Eagles
4.25 - N95ers
4.34 - Valley Otters
4.34 - Walleyes
4.35 - Tiger Kings
4.50 - Miners
4.54 - Lectroids
4.74 - Isotopes
4.89 - Spiders
4.94 - Failures
5.53 - Foxes

Reliever ERAs by 
1.83 - Cole Trains
1.89 - Batters
2.37 - Bivalves
2.52 - Cloverleafs
2.63 - Walleyes
2.69 - Spiders
2.70 - "Mechanics"
2.70 - Zeros
2.93 - Pinata Beaters
2.98 - Valley Otters
3.10 - Hellcats
3.14 - Cobblers
3.33 - Highlanders
3.41 - Lookouts
3.65 - Brews
3.99 - Lectroids
4.04 - Failures
4.26 - Toppins
4.30 - Red Eagles
4.50 - N95ers
4.50 - Tiger Kings
4.81 - Isotopes
4.92 - Foxes
5.00 - Miners

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Sim 2C Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm

I am so tired of playing Brad's Cole Trains

Schedule Quirks and Hope

For those owners like me, frustrated at a lackluster start, I have some good news.

  • To date 94% of the games we've played are of the intra-divisional variety, games between division rivals
  • Yet, over the course of the season 60% of the games are INTER-divisional, games between teams in differing divisions.
  • Put the two together, about 65% of our remaining games are against opponents each team has not yet seen.
A lot can change!

Monday, May 4, 2020

Sim 2B Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm


Injuries Taking a Toll

7 Injuries, 70 Days Lost - New Amsterdam Highlanders
6 Injuries, 46 Days Lost - Birmingham Cloverleafs
4 Injuries, 40 Days Lost - Willets Point "Mechanics"
3 Injuries, 37 Days Lost - Back Bay Bivalves
2 Injuries, 29 Days Lost - Downsouth Brews
6 Injuries, 27 Days Lost - Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
2 Injuries, 25 Days Lost - Wynnewood Tiger Kings
3 Injuries, 23 Days Lost - Springfield Isotopes
3 Injuries, 21 Days Lost - Ohio N95ers
3 Injuries, 17 Days Lost - Cleveland Spiders
2 Injuries, 15 Days Lost - Newport Beach Cole Trains
3 Injuries, 6 Days Lost - Grumman Hellcats
1 Injuries, 5 Days Lost - Chattanooga Lookouts
1 Injuries, 5 Days Lost - Inglorious Batters
3 Injuries, 5 Days Lost - Lakeview Zeros
2 Injuries, 5 Days Lost - Otterville Valley Otters
2 Injuries, 4 Days Lost - Fox City Foxes
2 Injuries, 4 Days Lost - Kansas City Cobblers
1 Injuries, 0 Days Lost - Critical Failures
1 Injuries, 0 Days Lost - Lady Evelyn Walleyes
1 Injuries, 0 Days Lost - Manetheren Red Eagles
2 Injuries, 0 Days Lost - Shamokin Miners

Sunday, May 3, 2020

Sim 2A Complete

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/ATB19Reports/ATB19.htm


Week 2 Transactions


  • New Amsterdam DL's Willie Wells, picks up Rabbit Maranville 1921
  • New Amsterdam drops Dave Concepcion 1974, picks up Bert Dorr 1882
  • Newport Beach DL's Al Orth, picks up David Robertson, 2017
  • Birmingham DL's Mike Jackson, picks up Jeff Nelson 1995
LATE TRANSACTIONS:  
  • Willets Point DL's Max Scherzer, picks up Bill Hands 1968
  • Ohio DL's Hideo Nomo, picks up Phiel Niekro 1967

Friday, May 1, 2020

Power Alley - Week 1


Reminder: 
Power Alley is meaningless, but fun.  It takes a teams winning percentage and adjusts it upward or downward depending upon it's Pythagorean Winning Percentage*.  The rankings are weighted 60/40 for Pythag vs Actual.

As an added bonus, the Projected Wins take a teams actual wins and adds to that a total derived from the explanation above, played out over the course of the rest of the season.

*Formula is:  W%=[(Runs Scored)^1.83]/[(Runs Scored)^1.83 + (Runs Allowed)^1.83]