Resim Power Alley: 20th through 17th

2oth - Cincinnati Redlegs (HC - It Could Be)
Owners: Steve Gray, Tommy Bligh
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 72/76
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 86/65
Avg RD: -52
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 100

Averaging the same number or re-sim wins as the 21st place Middle Name, the Redlegs have an advantage in run differential and the Power Alley formula therefore favors them slightly. This team played fairly close to expected in the regular season falling short by 4 games, and very close in terms of run differential, only 19 runs short.

20 re-sim seasons seems like a lot, but 100 would be best if there was unlimited times to do these types of studies. This is important, take a look at Cincinnati's win totals when grouped by quarters:

72 - Yrs 1-5
73 - Yrs 6-10
76 - Yrs 11-15
80 - Yrs 16-20

Which is more indicative of their true level of play?

19th - I Miss Rod Beck (VS - It Gets by Buckner)
Owners: Johnny Kondovski
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 81/77
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 86/66
Avg RD: -37
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 95

I won't pretend the Power Alley formula is really good enough to separate these last three teams. All three had Max wins between 88 or 86; all three had Min Wins of 65 or 66; and all three averaged either 75 or 76 Re-Sim wins per season. Power Alley basically then leaves it up to Run Differential and in ascending order

-70: BDM
-52: CR
-37: IMR

I Miss Rod Beck comes out as the best of these three teams of virtual identical quality.

One interesting item that does distinguish Rod Beck from the others - in re-sim #6 they won their division, but missed the playoffs. Would have been fun to watch unfold as the year featured a 3-way tie between Rod Beck, White Meadow, and Helena. All three teams won 86 games and our re-sim tie breaker rules look to the best Run Differential. Rod Beck was at -21 while the other two at +182 and +61 respectively. Rod Beck was out.

They also missed out on the Wild Card as there was also a two-way tie atop "Behind the Bag". Both DC and John McDonald won 93 a piece, leaving Rod Beck as the odd man out of the playoffs, despite a "Division Title".

18th - Warning Track Power (VS - Behind the Bag)
Owners: Kevin Crowley
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 75/78
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 89/65
Avg RD: -58
Playoffs: 2
MWP: 95

Our first playoff bound franchise!

Warning Track isn't appreciably better than the 19th through 21st ranked teams, but they did make it to the post season twice, a Power Alley key statistic. In Sim 4 the held the tie breaker against John McDonald for the last Wild Card Slot, and in Sim 5 held the last slot outright.

Overall though, this was a below average team that was outscored in 17 of their 20 re-sims, and in the regular season played almost exactly as expected. They played within 3 games of their re-sim average, had virtually identical Runs Scored, and came up short in Runs Allowed by just 3%.

17th - Potomac Rage (HC - It Might Be)
Owners: Jay Hatem (Ji)
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 77/80
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 90/68
Avg RD: +2
Playoffs: 1
MWP: 103

And now we have our first team with a positive RD. The Rage was at its best in Sim's 5 & 12 winning 89 and 90 games respectively, and claimed a post-season birth in sim 12 with a 3rd place finish.

In sim 1 they scored 863 times and in Sim 5 allowed opponents to score 693 times for a Maximum Win Potential of 103 games. The scored 863 runs twice in the 20-sim history but never again approached their team best in run prevention.

Just twice did the Rage finish within 15 games of first place in "It Might Be".

POSTSCRIPT - Another stat to show how bad HEY HOWARYA was - in Sim 14 they finished an astounding 73 games out of first. Yikes!