Resim Power Alley: 24th through 21st

I finished compiling the 20 resim results and will slowly, as time permits unfortunately, roll out the results. First up, as to not taint any World Series data by releasing player specific details, is a summary of all the teams and how they did.

I tired something new and created Power Alley Rankings based upon re-sim data. The rankings take into consideration the average number of Wins, Average Run Differential, Total Number of Division Titles, and Total Number of playoff appearances for each team.

Along with rankings for each each team I'll publish a few stats as well, and all but one is common sense and needs no introduction. I created something called Max Potential, which is completely meaningless but FUN nonetheless. It is supposed to express be the maximum wins a team could have earned in the perfect storm scenario - the best Runs Scored of any re-sim, coupled with the best Runs Against of any re-sim, sprinkled in with a fixed % boost for luck factor.

For example, Old Pete's Rabble, the lone computer team we had (still burns me) averaged 82 wins per re-sim. To get to 82, and this is another proof of Pythagoras, they scored 678 runs on average, and yielded the same amount. However, in re-sim 5 they scored 739 and in re-sim 18 they let up just 625. The run differential of 124 results in Pythagorean record of 94 wins. Sprinkle in a small luck factor, and you get a a Max Win Potential (MWP) of 99 wins. Like I said, pointless, but I love it regardless.

Oh, one other point to mention on stats. Actual, Avg, Max, and Min wins are the actual number of ATB XI wins, the average number of wins per re-sim, the most ever won in any re-sim, and the least ever won in any re-sim.

We'll start bottom to top and eventually make our way to #1.

24th - Hey Howarya (HC - It Might Be)
Owners: Russ Palmer, Mario Iafrate
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 53/47
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 57/34
Avg RD: -358
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 61

Rarely has a worse team graced an ATB league. In fairness, the original owner bailed on the draft and Russ and Mario were kind enough to jump in partway through. They had little to work with and it showed. Still - you can't average 115 losses per season and take no responsibility.

Howarya lost 100 games or more in each of the 20 re-sims and lost 120 or more an incredible 5 times. In re-sim 15 they lost 128 scoring 523 runs and letting in 949.

In ATB, the team over performed winning 13% more games then expected, thanks almost entirely to a pitching staff that let in 73 less runs than in the average re-sim.

23rd - Downsouth Brews (VS - It Gets by Buckner)
Owner: Allen
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 47/52
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 61/38
Avg RD: -267
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 68

A shade better than HOWARYA, the Brews still lost 100 or more games 20 times in a row, averaging 109 losses in the process. Long time ATB'ers knew the problem early on in the draft with after seing them post a 1st Round Hugh Duffy pick followed by Top-10 picks of Lou Brock, Herman Long, Barry Zito, and Hal Trosky.

In sim 9, the squad was at its best going 61-101 scoring 667 runs to their opponents 858.

The Brews were the worst team in the regular season thanks to a poor showing from their offense. They won 10% fewer games then expected mostly due 4% less runs then expected and some bad, bad, luck.

22nd - Wedge Tornado (HC - It Could Be)
Owner: Paul Taschereau Jr
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 56/60
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 77/51
Avg RD: -190
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 74

Paul T's squad is one of just two teams to exceed their Max Win Potential in one of the re-sims. In re-sim 10 they won 77 games with a -126 run differential, a full 11 games better than their Pythagorean Record indicates. Their spread between their best and worst re-sim records is one of the highest and the only one above 25 for a team with a losing record.

Comparing to ATB actuals, the Tornado underperformed by about 7% after giving up approximately 8% more runs than expected. They had fourteen 100 loss seasons but lost more than 110 "just twice".

21st - Bucky Dent's Middle Name (VS - It Gets by Buckner)
Owner: Scott Salley
Actual W/Avg Re-Sim W: 75/76
Re-Sim Max / Min Wins: 85/66
Avg RD: -70
Playoffs: 0
MWP: 90

There is a clear delineation between the 22nd and 21st worst teams in the league.

• BDM has a max win potential of 90; WT's was 74.
  
• BDM never lost 100 games; as you recall WT lost 100 fourteen times.
  
• BDM is our first team to max out with a record above .500, doing so 3 times.
  

While never making the playoffs, in re-sim 15, the team finished just 6 games off the pace for the division title and in re-Sim 10 were just 5 games off the pace for a Wild Card birth.

Middle Name was consistent across the board as well. They won 75 regular season contests and averaged 76 wins in the re-sims. They were within 22 runs of their regular season and re-sim run differentials and had one of just 5 Max/Min spreads below 20 games.

Next time, another group of 4 and our 1st two squads to make the playoffs.