Over the past few weeks I have been reconstructing past ATB seasons in order to determine ATB Value for each player. Last week I released the data for ATB VI and while the other seasons are not quite ready for release, I couldn't help but take a break for some analysis.
I wanted to try and gauge those players performing above and below expectations. First task was to determine "expectation"and of course, I turned to ATB Value. I created baseline averages for those players with at least 4 years of ATB experience, and then compared their current scores against their baseline averages. Below are the top 3 over and under performers of the year.
OVER PERFORMERS
1938 Ernie Lombardi - Catcher, John McDonald Fanclub
With a Vg arm strength, Lombardi is and ATB regular year in and year out. This year he is batting a very nice .305 / .338 / .390, a steal for the 25th round. Last season? He had an OBP of .211 and slugged just .234. the season before those numbers were .254 and .268, and the season before that .255 and .299. Lombardi's baseline ATB Value is .223 and is currently 29% better, coming in at .287.
1932 Jimmie Foxx - First Base, Downsouth Brews.
Foxx is having a stellar year, batting .291 / .391 / .592 with 35 HR and 85 RBI. His career average? .255 / .337 / .482 with 41 HR's. This is a solid average for any player, but no where near the MVP like numbers he is putting up this year. His previous best season was in ATB X where he put up similar numbers in an extreme batters park with a 108 BPF. this year, he is doing the same in moderate pitchers park.
1954 Duke Snider - Center Field, DC Chips
An all time great among ATB center fielders, Snider has averaged a .270 ATB Value over the previous six seasons. This year he scores .339 thanks to a .330 / .391 / .530 batting line. His previous high was ATB X when he batted .279 / .326 / .498 with a .314 ATB Value.
UNDER PERFORMERS
1938 Josh Gibson - Catcher, San Diego Puff
Those poor Puff. Gibson is either the first or second best catcher in the game, depending upon owner preference for power or a combination of batting average and on base percentage. Over his ATB career Gibson has batted .279 / .326 / .501 with almost 30 home runs per year. This season though? The second round pick is batting just .243 / .305 / .388.
1969 Willie McCovey - First Base, Eugene Psycho Llamas
Here are McCovey's last six OPS scores, in chronological order: .916, .988, .884, .848, .891. This year it is just .733. Not what Eugene was hoping for from their 2nd round pick.
1925 Oscar Charleston - Center Field, Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
Charleston is an Ex center fielder and that thankfully for RKA, this is not subject to much variation in the DMB game engine. As a result, a lot of his value is constant. This season he has recorded a .741 OPS with 10 home runs for an ATB Value of .240. Over his previous three seasons he has averaged an ATB Value of .305 with an OPS of .806.
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