100 Sim Results - #4 Starting Pitchers

These are the results of 100 baseline resims (ended up being 95 seasons due to a silly mistake on my part, though I will continue to call it the 100 sim baseline). Each season was run in neutral parks. Injuries were turned on, each team had a strict 5 man rotation, and the schedule was set for 154 games. To date, we've completed the reviews for all of the batters, here is the link to the review section of the blog and another for the full detail for each position.

After reviewing the #5 starters earlier, today’s results for #4 starters will undoubtedly be a let down – they simply aren’t as skilled as the #5’s. (You may recall the #5’s where chosen manually by me instead of by rote formula).

The best of the 4’s was either 1928 Garland Braxton or 1902 Bill Bernhard. Braxton had the better ERA and the luxury of three “Ex” outfielders behind him while Bernhard had the better WHIP and a better infield defense. Either way, one can expect about a 3.60 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

1910 Russ Ford and 2002 Derek Lowe make up the next tier of starter, with ERA’s around 3.75 and WHIPs in the low to mid-1.30s. Careful though, both these pitchers had a multitude of ‘Ex’ defenders in both the infield and outfield to aide in their statistical lines.

There were no surprises in the balance of the 4th starters. 1939 Ted Lyons, 1912 Joe Wood, 2009 Chris Carpenter, 1994 David Cone, 1952 Warrant Hacker, 1923 Dolf Luque, 1898 Kid Nichols, and 1964 Joel Horlen were all decent options.

In terms of disappointments, you never want to see pitchers with ERA’s in the 4.70s or worse, but it isn’t unexpected to see 1955 Billy Pierce, 1972 Steve Carlton, and 1917 Eddie Cicotte struggle.

01) 187 IP, 3.58 ERA, 1.28 WHIP-Garland Braxton-1928
02) 190 IP, 3.62 ERA, 1.24 WHIP-Bill Bernhard-1902
03) 182 IP, 3.77 ERA, 1.31 WHIP-Russ Ford-1910
04) 184 IP, 3.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP-Derek Lowe-2002
05) 186 IP, 3.95 ERA, 1.36 WHIP-Ted Lyons-1939
06) 177 IP, 4.18 ERA, 1.38 WHIP-Joe Wood-1912
07) 170 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP-Chris Carpenter-2009
08) 169 IP, 4.08 ERA, 1.4 WHIP-David Cone-1994
09) 178 IP, 4.22 ERA, 1.34 WHIP-Warren Hacker-1952
10) 172 IP, 4.21 ERA, 1.48 WHIP-Dolf Luque-1923
11) 181 IP, 4.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP-Kid Nichols-1898
12) 172 IP, 4.16 ERA, 1.45 WHIP-Joe Horlen-1964
13) 163 IP, 4.93 ERA, 1.53 WHIP-Billy Pierce-1955
14) 166 IP, 4.69 ERA, 1.57 WHIP-Steve Carlton-1972
15) 161 IP, 4.77 ERA, 1.53 WHIP-Eddie Cicotte-1917

The best at each position:
S4 - 187 IP, 3.58 ERA, 1.28 WHIP-Garland Braxton-1928
S5 - 189 IP, 3.08 ERA, 1.18 WHIP-Lady Baldwin-1885
LR - 44 IP,, 3.79 ERA, 1.36 WHIP-Fergie Jenkins-1970
SU - 153 IP, 2.67 ERA, 0.99 WHIP-Joe Neale-1890
CL - 72 IP,, 2.37 ERA, 1.18 WHIP-Jonathan Papelbon-2006