Monday, June 18, 2012

20 Resims: #3 Bertrand Island Carnies


At the end of each season owners may submit a new lineup that is used in the 20 Resim competition.  This competition is purely for speculation and is used as a gauge to determine who had the best draft.  The true ATB champion remains the World Series winner.


20 seasons are automatically simulated and compiled.  No lineup changes are allowed and injuries are turned off.  Through a formula that considers Win-Loss record, Playoff Appearances, and Pythagorean Record the teams are ranked in order from worst to first. 


Special thanks to Justin B who provided the formula and methodology behind the raw park OPS values, which provides a new way to interpret park factors.


I won’t pretend this doesn’t sting.  After winning 104 games in the regular season and avoiding elimination games in each round of the playoffs, I thought for certain my Carnies were destined to be proclaimed among the immortal teams in our league history.

Alas, it was a lot of timely luck that helped us win the ATB Championship.

Not say the Carnies weren’t great and one might argue they are deserving of the 2nd best ranking overall thanks to their +118 run differential, which we’ll soon see is clearly the 2nd best (and clearly not the overall best).  This team had few flaws, and had an equally adept lineup (6th overall) and rotation (4th overall).  They won 5 division crowns and were playoff bound 14 times.  Only once in the resims did they fail to win more games then they lost, and that was an 81-81 campaign.

Offensively, the Carnies were yet another example of an all around, well balanced team. Eight players, including both ends of two platoons, each had OPS scores above league average and the only true hole was at short, where defensive wizard Ozzie Smith roamed daily.

The pitching staff, no where near as good as the regular season suggested, was still among the best in the game.  Four pitchers ended up with ERA’s well below 4.00 (see below) and the 5th, Curt Schilling, was solid.  More than holding is own in the resims, regular season phenom Jerry Reuss pulled in a 3.68 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

The best aspect of this team was its bullpen.  Four relievers had ERA’s under 3.00 (see below) and Zach Greinke had a very good mark of 3.30.  Only mop up man Arnie Stone was questionable, and that is relative – his ERA was 3.59, still appreciably better than the ATB league average.

800 OPS Batters: 
Ty Cobb: .834 OPS, .327 / .369 / .465, 38 2B, 19 3B
Frank Thomas: .821 OPS, 20 HR in a platoon

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
Danny Haren: 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 14 W
Jason Schmidt: 3.80 ERA, 1.33 WHIP
Jerry Reuss: 3.68 ERA, 1.30 WHIP
Joe Wood: 3.55 ERA, 1.24 WHIP

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
Jeff Zimmerman: 2.52 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 22 Saves
Steve Howe: 2.38 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 15 Saves
Mike Jackson: 2.88 ERA, 1.15 WHIP
Taylor Buchholz: 2.93 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Best Value Draft Pick
Rd 19: Jerry Reuss

Bust Draft Pick
Rd 6: Ozzie Smith (.585 OPS)


Tally so Far
#24 - Downsouth Brews
#23 - Leesburg Snow
#22 – dogphin29
#21 – Team America World Police
#21 – Uncle Robbie’s Daffiness Boys
#19 – Indiana Black Sox
#18 – Haven Tommyknockers
#17 – Planet 10 Red Lectroids
#16 – North Podunk Banana Bears
#15 – Willets Point “Mechanics”
#14 – Saginaw Slammers
#13 – Helena Handbasket
#12 – Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
#11 – Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
#10 – DC Chips
#9 – John McDonald Fanclub
#8 – Brighton Shadows
#7 – Ee-Yah Orators
#6 – St Louis White Rats
#5 – New Orleans Thrill
#4 – Sparta Hoplites
#3 – Bertrand Island Carnies

2 comments:

  1. I think this goes to show your expert managerial skills to over succeed in the regular season as compared to Resim

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  2. Ha, thanks!

    There is something to that for sure. I used Johnny Mize a LOT when it was clear he was having a great season, bumped Reuss up in the rotation, demoted Zimmerman for a while, etc. But the same is true for all active owners so I would imagine it is mostly a wash.

    Top 2 B^2! Nice work!

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