Wednesday, February 9, 2011

100 Sim Season Results - Third Base

These are the results of 100 baseline resims (ended up being 95 seasons due to a silly mistake on my part, though I will continue to call it the 100 sim baseline). Each season was run in neutral parks. Injuries were turned on, each team had a strict 5 man rotation, and the schedule was set for 154 games. To date, we've completed the reviews for catchers, first basemen, and second basemen. Here is a link to the full detail by position.

I guess 1980 George Brett is a better choice than 1899 John McGraw, but by no means am I convinced of it. Brett is an all around hitter - he bats for average (.304), power (.454 SLG) and has decent speed (18 SB). He also has the second highest on base percentage among third basemen at .351. You can't go wrong right?

True, but maybe you could do better. Would you rather what Brett brings or an astounding .449 OBP, third best among all positions? It's not cut and dry by any means. John McGraw is an OBP machine, averaged 126 walks a season. He also is extremely fast, stealing successfully about 76 times each year, topping out at 105 in Sim #1. (Of interest, McGraw had the top 42 seasons for stolen bases in the 95 resims).

Elsewhere, 1953 Al Rosen is George Brett light (.270 / .325 / .424), 1954 Eddie Mathews provides some pop (32 HR's), and 2008 Chipper Jones has a well above average OBP (.365).


Before moving to the Top 15 list, a note on Mike Schmidt. I am slightly apalled that DMB game engine pours so much hate on the Schmidt, arguably the best 3rd basemen in the post war era. At the time of this writing there are 6 different Schmidt seasons in the database. In past ATB seasons, he's sucked in every single one of them. A large part of me loosened the playing time restrictions going forward just to see how the famous 1981 Mike Schmidt would fair. My money is still on a stinker.

01) 0.304 / 0.351 / 0.454 - 1980 Brett,George
02) 0.310 / 0.449 / 0.330 - 1899 McGraw,John
03) 0.270 / 0.325 / 0.424 - 1953 Rosen,Al
04) 0.223 / 0.317 / 0.426 - 1954 Mathews,Eddie
05) 0.284 / 0.365 / 0.345 - 2008 Jones,Chipper
06) 0.239 / 0.293 / 0.420 - 1966 Allen,Dick
07) 0.274 / 0.329 / 0.362 - 1913 Baker,Frank
08) 0.280 / 0.311 / 0.361 - 1971 Torre,Joe
09) 0.255 / 0.289 / 0.384 - 2004 Beltre,Adrian
10) 0.281 / 0.364 / 0.309 - 1988 Boggs,Wade
11) 0.227 / 0.300 / 0.349 - 2004 Rolen,Scott
12) 0.209 / 0.295 / 0.353 - 1982 Schmidt,Mike
13) 0.228 / 0.305 / 0.308 - 1966 Santo,Ron
14) 0.237 / 0.338 / 0.271 - 1884 Sutton,Ezra
15) 0.228 / 0.265 / 0.295 - 1964 Robinson,Brooks

Recapping the #1 choices at each position
CA-’86 Kelly - -.310 / .399 / .380, 179 TB
1B-’27 Gehrig - .297 / .375 / .584, 336 TB
2B-’24 Hornsby- .301 / .373 / .444, 260 TB
3B-’80 Brett - -.304 / .351 / .454, 278 TB


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