Tuesday, February 8, 2011

100 Sim Season Results - Second Base

These are the results of 100 baseline resims (ended up being 95 seasons due to a silly mistake on my part, though I will continue to call it the 100 sim baseline). Each season was run in neutral parks. Injuries were turned on, each team had a strict 5 man rotation, and the schedule was set for 154 games. To date, we've completed the reviews for catchers and first basemen. Here is a link to the full detail by position.

Like we saw at first base, there is one player that is leaps and bounds above the field at second base. 1924 Rogers Hornsby leads all second baggers in batting average, on base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, TOPS, Total Bases, and Runs Created. He averaged 46 extra base hits, 16 of them home runs. He is the best pure hitting second basemen in ATB, only hampered by his lack of speed (6 stolen bases).

Behind Rajah is 1976 Joe Morgan and 1884 Fred Dunlap. Morgan walks and hits for more power, but Dunlap's contact rates gives him a 40 point edge in batting average and a less drastic 16 point edge in slugging. They both have a .348 OBP so lets call it an owner preference - choose what you want - power and speed or better rate stats.

Coming in at three and four are, and I hate to say it, a disappointing Eddie Collins and Nap Lajoie. Collins at least gives you Ex defense and has a great .365 OBP, but Lajoie's .324 OBP may come as a shock to many. Lajoie still hit 37 doubles and is ranked third in total bases, but I had higher hopes for Nap.

A word of caution too. These compilations represent the pure average of the player of the course of 95 seasons. This is an incredible volume, and DMB automatically introduces random variability into their simulation. Case in point, take a look at these two stat lines:

.336 / .403 / .432, 24 2B, 12 3B, 93 RC
.249 / .318 / .298, 10 2B, 07 3B, 58 RC

If you haven't guessed, these are two lines for Eddie Collins, the first one from Sim #19 and the second from Sim #59.


Finally, we need to mention 1952 Jackie Robinson. A vogue mid round pick, Robinson performed poorly in these sims. His slash line of .239 / .324 / .271 is awful - he had just 9 extra base hits. I mention this specifically because my rankings have '52 as his best year, and the DC Chips had a lot of success with his '51 season in ATB XII. This is another reminder to treat these baselines as part of the puzzle, and not a definitive view on player performance.

01) 0.301 / 0.373 / 0.444 - 1924 Hornsby,Rogers
02) 0.282 / 0.348 / 0.400 - 1884 Dunlap,Fred
03) 0.242 / 0.348 / 0.384 - 1976 Morgan,Joe
04) 0.293 / 0.365 / 0.346 - 1914 Collins,Eddie
05) 0.291 / 0.324 / 0.394 - 1904 Lajoie,Nap
06) 0.260 / 0.332 / 0.323 - 1934 Gehringer,Charlie
07) 0.273 / 0.317 / 0.342 - 1886 Richardson,Hardy
08) 0.249 / 0.325 / 0.318 - 1890 Childs,Cupid
09) 0.252 / 0.328 / 0.304 - 2001 Alomar,Roberto
10) 0.237 / 0.301 / 0.328 - 2000 Kent,Jeff
11) 0.254 / 0.338 / 0.284 - 1908 Evers,Johnny
12) 0.255 / 0.309 / 0.321 - 1942 Gordon,Joe
13) 0.239 / 0.324 / 0.271 - 1952 Robinson,Jackie
14) 0.239 / 0.338 / 0.256 - 1950 Stanky,Eddie
15) 0.220 / 0.275 / 0.315 - 1944 Doerr,Bobby


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