Thursday, February 10, 2011

100 Sim Season Results - Shortstop

These are the results of 100 baseline resims (ended up being 95 seasons due to a silly mistake on my part, though I will continue to call it the 100 sim baseline). Each season was run in neutral parks. Injuries were turned on, each team had a strict 5 man rotation, and the schedule was set for 154 games. To date, we've completed the reviews for catchers, first basemen, second basemen, and third basemen. Here is a link to the full detail by position.

At shortstop, 1935 Arky Vaughan and 1908 Honus Wagner come in ranked as 1 and 1A. Vaughan, the standard pick for first shortstop taken offers great balance - .274 / .366 / .381 with 14 HR and a .747 OPS. Wagner, while hitting few home runs, offers significant improvements in overall gap power (51 EBH vs 35) but this is at a cost of OBP. His slash line is .293 / .337 / .418 with a .755 OPS. Wagner also steals 35 bases per season while Vaughan attempts less than 5 pe year. Either is a fine choice for the first shortstop taken off the board, and an acceptable first rounder.

Pickings quickly become slim after this elite 1-2 combination. No other shortstop averaged a .700 OPS though there is defintely some value to be found.

Negro leaguer Pop Lloyd (1910) averaged a .351 OBP with 19 doubles and 35 stolen bases
1948 Lou Boudreau batted .276 with a .335 OBP and 177 total bases
1896 Hughie Jennings can still take a pitch on the shoulder, averaging 55 HBP per year and a .374 OBP.
The premier power hitter, 1969 Rico Petrocelli, hit 17 HR per year but batted just .215 with a .287 OBP.

The Top 15…

01) 0.274 / 0.366 / 0.381 - 1935 Vaughan,Arky
02) 0.293 / 0.337 / 0.418 - 1908 Wagner,Honus
03) 0.275 / 0.351 / 0.348 - 1910 Lloyd,Pop
04) 0.276 / 0.335 / 0.353 - 1948 Boudreau,Lou
05) 0.296 / 0.374 / 0.317 - 1896 Jennings,Hughie
06) 0.253 / 0.295 / 0.374 - 1982 Yount,Robin
07) 0.253 / 0.338 / 0.308 - 1923 Sewell,Joe
08) 0.215 / 0.287 / 0.358 - 1969 Petrocelli,Rico
09) 0.276 / 0.336 / 0.292 - 1936 Appling,Luke
10) 0.261 / 0.294 / 0.337 - 2000 Garciaparra,Nomar
11) 0.232 / 0.294 / 0.332 - 1896 Dahlen,Bill
12) 0.201 / 0.282 / 0.302 - 1996 Larkin,Barry
13) 0.262 / 0.323 / 0.284 - 1943 Appling,Luke
14) 0.261 / 0.302 / 0.297 - 1886 Glasscock,Jack
15) 0.245 / 0.312 / 0.262 - 1926 Bancroft,Dave

Recapping the #1 choices at each position
CA-’86 Kelly - -.310 / .399 / .380, 179 TB
1B-’27 Gehrig - .297 / .375 / .584, 336 TB
2B-’24 Hornsby- .301 / .373 / .444, 260 TB
3B-’80 Brett - -.304 / .351 / .454, 278 TB
SS-’35 Vaughan -.274 / .366 / .381, 226 TB

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