Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Is Ball Four The Wild Card Favorites?

Well, no.  But you can make a case they have a real chance at upsetting the Wild Card leading Wildlings.

Ball Four is 4 games out with 6 to play.  Hardly in a good position.  However they commence a 3-game set with the Wildlings tonight, and close out the season with 3 games against the 62-94 Brews.

The Wildings have 8 games remaining, Ball Four just 6.  Lets play out the most extreme scenario (within the realm of plausibility).

The Wildlings lose game 1 tonight, and with an off day for Ball Four, they're 3.5 games out.

If Ball Four takes 2 of 3 from the Wildlings, they'll head to the Brews series with a 2.5 game deficit.  Probably not close enough.

However, the Wildlings close the season with a 4-game set against Planet 10.  The Wildlings are just 3-5 against Planet 10 this year and it stands to reason they may lose 3 of 4 in this series.

If Ball Four sweeps the Brews, certainly possible as they're already 7-2 against them, it would result in a tie and a one game playoff.

A LOT has to break right for Ball Four, but stranger things have happened.

Note:  Not to mention the "Mechanics" are just 3 games back and the Red Lectroids just 4.  Remember, the Red Lectroids finish the season with a 4 game set against the Wildlings. 

Can you say 4 way tie?

1 comment:

  1. Interesting ... Ball Four also has the strongest run differential. 812 runs scored through Sim 12B - the AL East hasn't a whiff of that kind of offense, we're all in the 600s - pitching division baby. Ball Four vs The Wall is the only inter-divisional matchup that the East has clearly dominated the Central - all others the central dominates or it's too close to call.

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