Unluckiest Team Offense

Forget the pythagorean records which also tend to show which teams are lucky (and unlucky), with the 500 sim baseline we can very easily see which players are performing above or below their baseline.  Taking it a step further, we roll the results up to the team level.

Park factors play a significant role but let's hold them aside for this post.  Judging purely by 500 resims when compared to actual sim results as of August 8, the Platte County Burnt Ends should have expected a team wOPS 62 points better they have.  In the .500 resims their batters, given the same playing time, should have posted a .747 wOPS but instead it's just .684.

Interestingly, it does appear that the .500 resims overstate batting by an incredible margin.  Only the Green Sox, playing their games in Coors field, have a team OPS better than expected.

Which players are over and underperforming?

Among full time players the Shadows are enjoying banner years from both Darren Daulton and Ken Griffey Jr.  The catcher "should" have a wOPS around .700 but is currently at .844.  Similarly, The Kid has a .915 wOPS and we would have expected one around .775.

At the other end of the spectrum the Red Eagles Frank Thomas is in a class all to himself.  In the 500 resims his wOPS was a tidy .823 but as of yesterday has put up just .626.

Here are the full results by team if you are interested.