Tuesday, May 21, 2013

20 Resims: #22, Lancaster Pretty Ladies


This result is one of the biggest surprises of the resims.  Sure, with  only 73 regular season wins the Ladies may have been candidates to score low in the resims, but I would have bet decent money this was an 80 win team.  I liked Cy Seymor, Edgar Wesley, Eddie Collins, Honus Wagner, Frank Baker, and Carl Yastrzemski on draft day but they never played well for Lancaster.  The team had above average power (11th in ISO) but their on-base average was simply too low when compared with the successful teams.

Honus Wagner even had a somewhat muted line (.290 / .342 / .448), 14 points off his career average OPS.

Taking a step back to the draft itself, you'll recall Lancaster held off on drafting a pitcher until round 12 and this strategy didn't work for two reasons.  1) If you take 11 consecutive batters you better have a well above average offense, and 2) Ted assumed he could piece together a rotation.  Starters averaged a 4.61 ERA with Red Faber the best of them (4.31 ERA, 1.35 WHIP.

The bullpen was better, holding two above average relievers in Darren Holmes (3.58 ERA, 1.32 WHIP) and Buddy Groom (3.34 ERA, 1.28 WHIP) but unfortunately these two saw the least playing time out of any team.

Finally, like a ray of sunshine on a cloudy day, we need to mention Lancaster’s Max Win Potential. In resim 12 they scored 750 runs and in resim 4 they allowed just 680.  That[s a very good run differential of +70 and would have likely led to a 91 win team.  From this we can surmise what Ted envisioned with his draft strategy.

800 OPS Batters: 
None

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
None

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
None

Best Value Draft Pick
Rd 25 – Mike Donlin (.286 / .333 / .391, 25 2B in 496 AB)

Bust Draft Pick
Rd 3 – Frank Baker (.248 / .287 / .401 with 72 R and 58 RBI)



20 Resim Results
24) 64 wins, Downsouth Brews
23) 66 wins, Colorado Green Sox
22) 

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