100 Sim Results - Pitcher Conistency

10 days ago I posted about the great inconsistencies among batters. Today, in a similar vein, we focus on a just few of the more interesting pitchers.

By far, the least consistent pitcher in the sim was 1933 Carl Hubbell. When things were going well, Hubbell pitched fine turning in a sub-4.00 ERA 16 times. However, and this was more often the case, when things were off for the southpaw he was very erratic with an era over 5.50 fifteen times. Here's his "Min, Average, Max" key stat lines.


The most consistent pitcher was 1885 Lady Baldwin. Given that his best season is very close to that of Pedro Martinez's best, and the fact he is most consistent, make him the best pick overall? Baldwin had 36 seasons with an ERA under 3.00 and just four (!) with an ERA over four. Pedro was better with only 1 season over four, but that is by no means a dramatic victory for late 1990's star.

However, it's clear by these two stat lines there is a major difference between the two. In terms of ERA their best and worst seasons overall (by RCERA) are similar but it's a much different story for those seasons in between.

First the Max, Min, Average. As you can plainly see the Average state line is more than 1/2 a run better for Martinez.


Further, categorizing into buckets of success we can see Martinz is routinely throwing seasons with an RCERA under 3.00 (87 of 100). Baldwin, while great, tossed just 13 seasons with an RCERA in this range.