Thursday, June 9, 2016

All Time Leaderboard Updated

http://www.alltimebaseballsim.net/All_Time_Leaders.htm

The only new record set was a new Innings Pitched record.  Walter Johnson beat his own record by 2, tossing 321 innings this eason.

There were many updates to the top 10, especially pitching.  The link above takes you to the main history page, these two are included on the main page, but listed here for quick access to single season leaders.

Single Season Pitching Leaders
Single Season Batting Leaders

Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Expectations: 1st pick 90 wins, 2nd pick 74 wins?

The chart below depicts the # of wins by draft slot for each of the past 5 years.  Unsurprisingly, when you luck into the #1 draft pick you can expect 90 wins, the highest win expectancy of any slot.  Very strangely however, if you draft 2nd you can expect just 74 wins.  This makes little sense:



The only explanation I can come up with is sample size.  Here are the top 3 picks in each of the past 5 drafts:


All Time Manager Rankings - New #1

Congrats to Justin P who now owns 5 titles in 18 years, which has vaulted him in to the overall lead for Manager Power Rankings.

1) 658 Pts - Justin Petronzi (0 Chg)
2) 650 Pts - Lou Poulas (-1 Chg)
3) 629 Pts - Mike Smitko (0 Chg)
4) 609 Pts - Steve Chippendale (0 Chg)
5) 589 Pts - Jason Bernarndon (0 Chg)
6) 577 Pts - Sean Seeley (0 Chg)
7) 561 Pts - Brad Peterson (0 Chg)
8) 543 Pts - David Kuenn (0 Chg)
9) 543 Pts - Johnny Kondovski (0 Chg)
10) 540 Pts - Elliot Goldbetter (0 Chg)
13) 532 Pts - TJ Olszewski (-1 Chg)
12) 528 Pts - Joe Terry (-1 Chg)
14) 523 Pts - Matt Brody (-1 Chg)
11) 513 Pts - Mike Murphy (20 Chg)
16) 512 Pts - Jeff Burns (-1 Chg)
17) 512 Pts - Mike Thanasides & Zach Bernstein (-1 Chg)
19) 511 Pts - Brian Barnes (-1 Chg)
18) 509 Pts - Shotgun Spratling (-1 Chg)
15) 505 Pts - Joe Valenzano (-1 Chg)
20) 494 Pts - Jay Seeley (-1 Chg)
21) 484 Pts - Ivar Anderson (-1 Chg)
22) 483 Pts - Joe Poulas (-1 Chg)
23) 474 Pts - Leanne Sarubbi (-1 Chg)
25) 455 Pts - Greg Murphy (22 Chg)
24) 447 Pts - Jay Hattem (-1 Chg)
26) 434 Pts - Kevin Crowley (-2 Chg)
27) 405 Pts - Gary Gambino (-2 Chg)
28) 382 Pts - Allen Cherulnik  (-2 Chg)
29) 306 Pts - Justin Burnson (-2 Chg)
30) 306 Pts - Scott Carter (-2 Chg)
31) 303 Pts - Joel Quey (NA Chg)
32) 297 Pts - Mike Green (-3 Chg)
33) 285 Pts - Justin Bossert (-3 Chg)
34) 275 Pts - Bruce Nalepka (-2 Chg)
35) 273 Pts - David Inlow (NA Chg)
36) 260 Pts - Michael Rippe (-3 Chg)
40) 260 Pts - Tony Pelligrino (NA Chg)
37) 256 Pts - Larry Caggiano (-3 Chg)
39) 254 Pts - Thomas Richards (NA Chg)
38) 244 Pts - Will Gabel (NA Chg)
41) 238 Pts - Steve Gray / Tommy Bligh (-6 Chg)
42) 235 Pts - Jim Nugent (-6 Chg)
43) 235 Pts - Richard Madachik (-6 Chg)
44) 235 Pts - Stephen Lee (NA Chg)
45) 234 Pts - Matt Hinzpeter (-5 Chg)
46) 231 Pts - Mike Wishnick (-5 Chg)
47) 231 Pts - Scott Salley (-5 Chg)
48) 225 Pts - Dennis Slinger (-5 Chg)
49) 225 Pts - Ted Knorr (-5 Chg)
50) 225 Pts - Richard G (NA Chg)
52) 221 Pts - Ben Matsil (-4 Chg)
51) 216 Pts - John J (NA Chg)
53) 216 Pts - Bob Lessard (-4 Chg)
54) 216 Pts - PJ Dodds (-4 Chg)
59) 216 Pts - Al Hastick (-4 Chg)
55) 213 Pts - Paul Nebenfuer (-4 Chg)
56) 210 Pts - Devon Eckhart (-4 Chg)
57) 210 Pts - Andy Matsil (-4 Chg)
58) 210 Pts - Greg Stillwagon (-4 Chg)
60) 207 Pts - Jason Schwartz (-4 Chg)
61) 198 Pts - John Wolford (-4 Chg)
62) 194 Pts - Chris Kelly (-4 Chg)
63) 192 Pts - Adam Bloomquist (-4 Chg)
64) 188 Pts - Rod Aukamp (-4 Chg)
65) 188 Pts - Adam Luther (-4 Chg)
66) 185 Pts - Lee Wykes (-4 Chg)
67) 185 Pts - Bill Nyman (-4 Chg)
68) 173 Pts - Paul Taschereau Jr (-4 Chg)
69) 167 Pts - Neil Book (-4 Chg)
70) 164 Pts - Mario Iafrate & Russ Palmer (-4 Chg)


Here is a snapshot of all active owners.  Playing time counts, those owners with less years are penalized a bit so that a single great season or two doesn't score higher than 10 very good seasons (as an example).

Tuesday, June 7, 2016

The Most Boring Post Season Awards In Our History

Given the lateness of these I am not going to put the balloting up to owner vote, and instead rely on my own methods to determine our post season awards.  Feel free to gripe in the comments!  So many of these went to the perennial favorites to win the award in the first place - boring/

NL MVP - Barry Bonds, Cape Town
There really isn't a valid argument against Bonds.  He is by far the best hitter in the NL, his OPS a full 246 points better than his closest competition.  The left fielder batter .303 .457 / .688 with 61 HR, 138 R, and 160 RBI for a playoff team.

AL MVP - Babe Ruth, New Amsterdam
This was a much closer call than in the NL.  Ruth was clearly the best hitter on the year, belting 63 home runs, 127 Runs, and 136 RBI while maintaining a slash line of .262 / .419 / .653, 1.072 OPS.  He played right field this year as well, so no points were lost for being a DH.  The closest competition was from red Dunlap.  The Port Hawkesberry second basemen batted .337 / 394 / .517.  Even with defense, Ruth has too large of a batting margin for Dunlap to overcome.

NL Cy Young - Greg Maddux, Tattooine

No pitcher, perhaps in our history, has amassed as many quality innings as Maddux threw this season.  We'll let the stat line speak for itself:

20-10, 320 IP, 254 H, 2.05 ERA, 43 GS, 0.99 WHIP, 2.27 RCERA

Whit Wyatt (Martian) also had a comparable year, even a tad better in the rate stats, but tossed 100 fewer innings.

AL Cy Young - Pedro Martinez, Brooklyn
I really wanted to give this award to Seattle's Bill Benhard, and it is a classic case of determining what is more important - a lot of great innings vs few elite innings.  Let's break it down a bit:

.........PM......BB
W........15......22
IP.......238.....272
ERA......2.90....3.11
OOPS.....0.612...0.612
CG.......9.......15


By these measures, sure looks like Benhard was deserving.  But peeling back some of the analytical stats sheds some more light on the situation:

.........PM......BB
RCERA....2.65....2.83
CERA.....2.49....2.79

QS%......0.758...0.703
WHIP.....1.01....1.12
K/9......9.3.....3.5


To me, Pedro was clearly a more effective pitcher, and given that he pitched a full season - 238 innings -  and not something like 150, he gets the award.

NL Reliever of the Year - Tug McGraw, Martian
I tried not to give this to someone who pitches in an extreme pitchers park, but McGraw was just too good this year:  9-2, 1.45 ERA, 33 Sv, 81 IP, 0.77 WHIP, 1.41 CERA.

AL Reliever of the Year - Joe Nathan, Port Hawkesberry
This was the closest race of any post season award.  Jeff Zimmerman (Fort Worth) had striking similar stats, and the difference proved to be sheer blown saves.  Nathan converted 90% of his opportunities, Zimmerman just 80%.  Nathan sported a 1.85 ERA in 83 innings, recording a 0.96 WHIP, 1.73 CERA, and 40 saves.


Friday, June 3, 2016

20 Resim Summary

1) Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
2) Hockenberry Scholics
3) Martian Manhunters
4) South Boston Sabermetrics
5) Camorr Gentleman Bastards
6) New Amsterdam Highlanders
7) Grumman Hellcats
8) Port Hawkesberry Puffins
9) Forth Worth Hunters
10) St Paul Doppelgangers
11) Jeff City Blausers
12) Seattle  Pilots
13) Richmond County Mudslingers
14) Lakeview Zeros
15) Cape Town Apostles
16) Shamokin Miners
17) Tatooine Solo Artists
18) Chatanooga Lookouts
19) Brooklyn Cyclones
20) Helena Handbasket
21) Fox City Foxes
22) Planet 10 Red Lectroids
23) Downsouth Brews
24) Appalachian Hillbillies


Also, here below are some high level charts - I will post the full suite of back up documents once I get home tonight.  If anyone wants a copy sooner I can email.

Keep in mind the rankings are determined by a myriad of factors, namely:

- Resim Winning Percentage
- Resim Run Differential
- Balanced Resim Winning Percentage
- Division Titles and Wild Card Births
- Divisional Strength