Prediction Division Winners Based Upon Strength of Schedule

Here is a quick snapshot of how we can expect our Divisional races to play out. Based upon a teams current Pythagorean Win Percentage, their opponents Pythagorean Win Percentage, and the number of Home vs Away contests, we can predict the final records for each team, and thus the most likely to move onto the playoffs.

Here is how the National League looks to shape up:

• All three hopefuls have virtually the same strength of schedule remaining
• The Handbasket's have the best chance at winning those remaining games because they have the best run differential and the most home games
• This should allow them to make up ground and the numbers predict a divisional tie
• The Slam Dumps have a good team, but play so many road games they likely won't be able to catch the division leaders
  

Here is a summary of the remaining schedules for each team.


Of course, teams will go on major w-l streaks an excel sheet can't predict, so this is akin to playing the averages and has marginal true predictive value.


League Reports