Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Win Record in Jeopardy?

With 23 wins last season, the Fishbiscuits Addie Joss tied the single season record previously held by Greg Maddux ("Mechanics" in ATB 13).

Thanks to a 4-man rotation, Pedro Martinez has started 35 times this season and has 18 wins.  It's August 23 in sim time, and barring any injuries, Martinez should make another 7 starts.

Is that enough to get to 23?  Technically, sure.  He can win all 7 and end up with 25 wins.

However, a closer look at his game log reveals just how much of a longshot the record is.  Martinez, while having a stellar year, has never won more than 3 decisions in a row and only once has won 5 of 7 decisions (5-1 to start the season).

It's not a question of losing, he rarely does, it's a question of decisions and asking any pitcher to factor (with a win and/or a loss) in 5 or 6 tries in 7 opportunities is too much.

No comments:

Post a Comment