Monday, March 24, 2014

Over and Under Performers

I compared each batters OPS from this year versus their OPS from the career historical average.  Lets see whose over and under-performing.

Top 5 Over Performers

Willie Wells (TMS) - Talk about a bounce back year!  Last year with TJ's squad, Wells was a hard bust, putting up a .698 OPS (.308 OBP), a really poor figure for a Top 10 pick.  Apparently, the "P" makes the difference as this year for PJ, the shortstop is batting .307 / .388 / .586 with a .974 OPS. He's on pace for 34 home runs, almost 80% more than a year ago.

Judy Johnson (HH) - Sell high?  Johnson has had a great 1st half, batting .339 / .360 / .484 in 201 plate appearances, prompting Joe T to trade for him.  Last year, he batted .257 / .276 / .347 which should be cause for alarm.

Pete Hill (OFB) - Astute readers will notice that we're 3 for 3 in Negro Leaguers and that's simply because they've not accumulated a lot of historical playing time, and it stands to reason their year to year variability will be high.  Still, last year Hill sported a .718 OPS and this year it's .936.  He's batting 90 points higher and it'll be tough to sustain.

Javy Lopez (BS) - The slugging catcher always had pop, but this year he's added a .310 batting average, boosting his OBP by 40 points.  Add in the fact he's belting over twice as many home runs as he typically hits and you have one happy camper in David K, if it lasts of course.

Fred Lynn (SM) - If I were to conduct an in depth study, I do think Lynn would prove to be an exceptionally volatile batter.  His career average line is .261 / .330 / .430 and for Shamokin this year he's batting .291 / .352 / .611.  For the record, his career low OPS is .690 and this year it's .964.

Top 5 Under Performers

Derrek Lee (IC) - Lee is 100 points off his career batting average and it's just killing the Consultants.  His in season .570 OPS is by far the worst of any regular 1st basemen, and a full 209 points of his career average.  His week 5 stats were a bit improved (.610 OPS) but it just may be a long year for Derrek.

Pete Browning (CGS) - Playing home games in 1926 Braves Fields (94/94 - 80/80 - 70/70 - 20/20) is a chore, just ask Browning.  The career .306 batter is only hitting .230 this season.  His .531 OPS is atrocious, and almost 200 points off his normal mark.

Ben Zobrist (SM) - Utility extraordinaire Ben Zobrist is struggling this year, batting just .126 (!) in 151 plate appearances.  He's never been a great hitter (career slash line of .243 / .323 / .341) but Mike M didn't sign up for this.  His .252 OBP is third worst in ATB among every day players.

Frank Baker (DI) - "HOme Run" Baker just has one dinger this year and while he normally slugs .430, he's only managing .330 in ATB 16.

Oscar Charleston (DIM) - Well, I guess one can't complain if you 1st rounder is batting .303 / .384 / .581, but it sure is well off his last season line of .352 / .457 / .650.  Checking the .500 resims Charleston is about 100 points his resim average too.  Gotta expect Charleston to pick up the pace in the second half.

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