I thought it would be interesting to know when we should draft a certain level of player. For instance, if you want a shortstop in the top 15% of the league, when do you need to pull the trigger. What about top 40%?
To do this I made one large assumption - owners draft better players first. We know this isn't entirely true as we all have made mistakes on draft day, but in general, I am comfortable we can rely on our draft history for this study.
The following looks at latest the three year trend of where we draft each position. An example - looking at first base, if an owner wants a Top "x" player, they would need to pull the trigger by "Y" Round:
Top 3 - Round 1
Top 10 - by Round 3
Top 15 - By Round 5
Top 24 - Round 9
This also implies that replacement level first basemen are all that is left by the end of round 9.
Here is the full chart:
Center Field remains a key position in owners minds. On average, 16 center fielders are drafted every year by the 4th round. Compare that to only 8 second basemen.
Rounds 4 and 5 see the first relievers removed the board, and then things escalate quickly. In only 5 rounds do we go from the 1st to the 24th reliever taken.
Obviously, one cannot draft players in the upper tier of every position. Hopefully this chart can help focus your draft plan. The most important to me is knowing how long we have to draft a pretty good player at a specific position. We have 6 rounds to draft a good catcher and only 3 for a first basemen.
To do this I made one large assumption - owners draft better players first. We know this isn't entirely true as we all have made mistakes on draft day, but in general, I am comfortable we can rely on our draft history for this study.
The following looks at latest the three year trend of where we draft each position. An example - looking at first base, if an owner wants a Top "x" player, they would need to pull the trigger by "Y" Round:
Top 3 - Round 1
Top 10 - by Round 3
Top 15 - By Round 5
Top 24 - Round 9
This also implies that replacement level first basemen are all that is left by the end of round 9.
Here is the full chart:
Center Field remains a key position in owners minds. On average, 16 center fielders are drafted every year by the 4th round. Compare that to only 8 second basemen.
Rounds 4 and 5 see the first relievers removed the board, and then things escalate quickly. In only 5 rounds do we go from the 1st to the 24th reliever taken.
Obviously, one cannot draft players in the upper tier of every position. Hopefully this chart can help focus your draft plan. The most important to me is knowing how long we have to draft a pretty good player at a specific position. We have 6 rounds to draft a good catcher and only 3 for a first basemen.
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