Tuesday, June 12, 2012

20 Reims: #11 Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters


At the end of each season owners may submit a new lineup that is used in the 20 Resim competition.  This competition is purely for speculation and is used as a gauge to determine who had the best draft.  The true ATB champion remains the World Series winner.


20 seasons are automatically simulated and compiled.  No lineup changes are allowed and injuries are turned off.  Through a formula that considers Win-Loss record, Playoff Appearances, and Pythagorean Record the teams are ranked in order from worst to first. 


Special thanks to Justin B who provided the formula and methodology behind the raw park OPS values, which provides a new way to interpret park factors.


Several have theorized that the AL East was the class division of ATB XIV.  The Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters are a case in point. By all meaningful measures, the Beaters were clearly superior to the #12 All Stars.  They had a higher resim average number of wins, a higher max potential, a higher minimum number of wins, etc.  They outsourced opponents by twice as much, and enjoyed both a better team ERA and team OPS.  Yet, the All Stars made the playoffs two and a half times more than the Beaters.

It must be the division, right?   I think so too and will run a balanced schedule set of resims to determine if it’s true.  For now, we can lament the random number generator and at least content ourselves with the idea that three other AL East owners had better teams.

This was a very good team though, 7th in overall run differential a 90 win team 7 times as well.  Incredibly, in four of those seven seasons they missed the playoffs entirely.

The star of this team was the bullpen.  Four different relievers sported ERA’s well under 3.00, a third was slightly above 3.00, and the fifth was still better than the league average.

The offense, led by second basemen Fred Dunlap, was very good.  Mark McGwire was his normal homer hitting self, but perhaps just as important were the seasons from Harry Heilmann (.303 / .360 / .427) and catcher  Mickey Cochrane (.364 OBP).  Designated Hitter Travis Hafner was also solid.

What kept Justin’s team out of the playoffs was the starting rotation.  Babe Adams (below) was a fine ace but three pitchers ended up with ERA’s over 4.00 and as you’ll see as we climb through the top-10 teams, that just isn’t good enough.

800 OPS Batters: 
Fred Dunlap: .896 OPS, .348 / .394 / .502, 38 2B, 17 HR, 115 RBI
Mark McGwire: .836 OPS, 49 HR, 115 RBI

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
Babe Adams: 3.69 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 14 W, 225 IP
Ted Lyons: 3.94 ERA, 1.30 WHIP

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
Pat Jarvis: 3.09 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 94 IP
Graeme Lloyd: 2.72 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 85 IP
Jim Poole: 2.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 79 IP
Neftali Feliz: 2.92 ERA , 1.26 WHIP, 21 Saves
Paul Wilson : 2.92 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 57 IP

Best Value Draft Pick
Several candidates, but Feliz (above) was a true gem for Round 20.

Bust Draft Pick
None, but it is of note that Hank Aguirre was selected in Round 10 and is the only reliever not listed in the “Sub 3.25 Relievers” section.


Tally so Far
#24 - Downsouth Brews
#23 - Leesburg Snow
#22 – dogphin29
#21 – Team America World Police
#21 – Uncle Robbie’s Daffiness Boys
#19 – Indiana Black Sox
#18 – Haven Tommyknockers
#17 – Planet 10 Red Lectroids
#16 – North Podunk Banana Bears
#15 – Willets Point “Mechanics”
#14 – Saginaw Slammers
#13 – Helena Handbasket
#12 – Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
#11 – Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters

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