Wednesday, June 13, 2012

20 Resims: #10 DC Chips


At the end of each season owners may submit a new lineup that is used in the 20 Resim competition.  This competition is purely for speculation and is used as a gauge to determine who had the best draft.  The true ATB champion remains the World Series winner.


20 seasons are automatically simulated and compiled.  No lineup changes are allowed and injuries are turned off.  Through a formula that considers Win-Loss record, Playoff Appearances, and Pythagorean Record the teams are ranked in order from worst to first. 


Special thanks to Justin B who provided the formula and methodology behind the raw park OPS values, which provides a new way to interpret park factors.


Always at the forefront of manager innovation, this year was no different for Steve C and the DC Chips.  However, this time the Chips may have gone too far and ATB XIV was the franchise’s worst season to date.

The Chips selected the 1956 Polo Grounds as their home park, and with an insanely low 80 park factor for singles plays as the most pitching friendly park in the game.  In an attempt to take full advantage of this, the team carried just 9 pitchers all season.

I am not sure that it worked.  Out of the pen, Dennis Eckersley and Gabe White were stellar and the rotation, on it’s surface, looked pretty good as well.  But are ERA’s of Bill Bernhard (3.62) and Johnny Podres (3.53 ERA) really that good when taken in park context?

Similarly, the front end of the bullpen featured Goose Gossage (3.35 ERA), Roger Nelson (3.62 ERA), and Dick Donovan (3.72 ERA); the last two likely would have been below average pitchers in a run-neutral park.

Offensively, the Chips were frustrated by a lineup very disparate in quality.  On one hand there was Babe Ruth (1.000 OPS), but on the other hand the platoon of Eric Chavez and Matt Williams (.562 OPS combined).  Lip Pike was a good hitting centerfielder (.292 / .330 / .424) but his contribution was counteracted by second base platoon Max Bishop and Miller Huggins (.570 OPS).   Combined with the park, the result was an offense in the bottom third of the league.

Overall, DC made the playoffs about a third of the time and for one long stretch, made the postseason 5 consecutive seasons, six times in seven seasons, and seven times in ten seasons.  That is an interesting spread and speaks the reason most DMB lifers like to see the results over 100 seasons before concluding anything.

One final note - look at that strange sim #6.  Anything can happen in a single season, and it happened to the Chips in Sim 6.  They won just 70 games, a full 12 games off the pace of their next worst season.

800 OPS Batters: 
Babe Ruth: 1.000 OPS, .261 / .413 / .587, 52 HR, 108 R, 127 RBI

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
Bill Bernhard: 3.62 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 16 W, 168 IP
Bob Ojeda: 3.41 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 16 W, 253 IP
Johnny Podres: 3.53 ERA, 1.28 WHIP
Frank Sullivan: 3.97 ERA, 1.36 WHIP

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
Dennis Eckersley: 2.20 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 120 IP, 21 Saves
Gabe White: 2.35 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 18 Saves

Best Value Draft Pick
Rd 24: Roger Nelson (87 IP, 1.28 WHIP)

Bust Draft Pick
Rd 8: Robin Yount (.283 OBP, 461 PA)



Tally so Far
#24 - Downsouth Brews
#23 - Leesburg Snow
#22 – dogphin29
#21 – Team America World Police
#21 – Uncle Robbie’s Daffiness Boys
#19 – Indiana Black Sox
#18 – Haven Tommyknockers
#17 – Planet 10 Red Lectroids
#16 – North Podunk Banana Bears
#15 – Willets Point “Mechanics”
#14 – Saginaw Slammers
#13 – Helena Handbasket
#12 – Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
#11 – Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
#10 – DC Chips

There are only nine teams left, who will make it into the heralded top 5?


In alphabetical order, the teams remaining:

Bertrand Island Carnies
Brighton Shadows
Ee-Yah Orators
Gold Country Gossamers
John McDonald Fanclub
New Orleans Thrill
Otherton Fishbiscuits
Sparta Hoplites
St. Louis White Rats

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