Saturday, June 16, 2012

20 Resims: #5 New Olreans Thrill


At the end of each season owners may submit a new lineup that is used in the 20 Resim competition.  This competition is purely for speculation and is used as a gauge to determine who had the best draft.  The true ATB champion remains the World Series winner.


20 seasons are automatically simulated and compiled.  No lineup changes are allowed and injuries are turned off.  Through a formula that considers Win-Loss record, Playoff Appearances, and Pythagorean Record the teams are ranked in order from worst to first. 


Special thanks to Justin B who provided the formula and methodology behind the raw park OPS values, which provides a new way to interpret park factors.


Forget Brad P, I personally feel vindicated with this nice showing from the New Orleans Thrill.  After the draft, I thought the Thrill would challenge for title this year but they had a relatively poor showing for much of the regular season before catching fire late.  In the resims they made the playoffs more often than not (12 of 20 chances) and had two 100-win campaigns, including a stellar 107 win season in sim 6.  In that 107 win season, they scored 862 runs and had a +207 Run Differential, truly elite numbers.

The Thrill had a great offense (5th best) and an average pitching staff (13th best).  Second basemen Ross Barnes was the team’s best player and one of the most valuable in either league.   He hit for average, power, and got on base almost 41% of his at bats.  Luis Gonzalez, Willie Stargell, and Mike Schmidt provide almost 100 home runs while Dan Brouthers and Steve Evans were well above average too.
A word on Schmidt. With the new rules surrounding playing time, Brad rightfully chose his famous 1981 season.  Schmidt is now a legitimate top 10 or even top 5 third basemen, yet I can’t help but feel disappointed.  In the regular season he was awesome, batting .272  / .346 / .502 with 43 home runs and 125 RBI, but in the resims we was merely very good (.242 / .325 / .444, 37 HR)..

The offense could have been even better.  Catcher Roy Campanella (.287 / .325 / .425) was in a platoon, batting against lefties and came to the plate just over 200 times.  He shared duties with Brian McCann (.263 / .297 / .365) but was clearly deserving of a full time starting role.  Elsewhere, Cal McVey (.318 / .345 / .451) received only 238 plate appearances while Earl Combs (.285 / .323 / .354) accumulated 534.

In the rotation Brad found a gem in Ted Lilly, the 21st rounder won 15 games and secured a nifty 1.26 WHIP and 3.63 ERA.  The rest of the rotation was below average, but a great pen made up for it on most nights.

800 OPS Batters: 
Ross Barnes: .874 OPS, .347 / .409 / .465, 29 2B, 21 3B, 101 R
Dan Brouthers: .802 OPS, .309 / .369 / .433, 36 2B, 96 RBI
Willie Stargell: .820 OPS, .253 / .306 / .513, 32 HR

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
Ted Lilly: 3.63 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 15 W

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
Bruce Sutter: 2.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 106 IP
Mariano Rivera: 2.07 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 40 Saves
Arthur Lee Rhodes: 3.01, 1.22 WHIP, 79 IP
Jason Isringhausen: 3.19 ERA, 1.37 WHIP

Best Value Draft Pick
Rd 21: Ted Lilly

Bust Draft Pick
Rd 9: George Wright: .269 / .298 / .327


Tally so Far
#24 - Downsouth Brews
#23 - Leesburg Snow
#22 – dogphin29
#21 – Team America World Police
#21 – Uncle Robbie’s Daffiness Boys
#19 – Indiana Black Sox
#18 – Haven Tommyknockers
#17 – Planet 10 Red Lectroids
#16 – North Podunk Banana Bears
#15 – Willets Point “Mechanics”
#14 – Saginaw Slammers
#13 – Helena Handbasket
#12 – Rusty Kuntz Traveling All Stars
#11 – Spanish Harlem Pinata Beaters
#10 – DC Chips
#9 – John McDonald Fanclub
#8 – Brighton Shadows
#7 – Ee-Yah Orators
#6 – St Louis White Rats
#5 – New Orleans Thrill

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