Friday, May 24, 2013

20 Resims: #19 - Leesburg Snowhole



After a great 2nd half during the regular season, owner Jay H had high expectations for his Leesburg squad in the 20 resims.  Unfortunately, their 80 regular season wins was about as best as this team could do, but there are two key positives to take from this.

1) Jay H did a very good job managing the team, besting both the OD Resim Average, Balance Resim Average along with the all important standard Resim Average.  Plus, he was only 3 games off the pace for the resim max wins.  All of this speaks to getting the most out of what was drafted.
2) Jay H also drafted a very good pitching staff, with enough quality to be ranked  8th best in the league measured by runs against.  Four starters had ERA’s under 4.00 and their 5th starter narrowly missed the honor too.  Four members of the bullpen, led by John Wetteland, were above average.  He gambled on Nip Winters and it paid off, Winters is a bona fide ace.

The issue with Leesburg was in the lineup.  Scoring a paltry 625 runs per resim they were ranked 2nd to last in the league and no player, starting or coming off the bench, cracked an .800 OPS.

The Mike Trout experiment looked promising but ended up bust; their second batter taken, Goose Goslin, suffered from a .306 OBP; and in fact, 7 of their 10 regulars averaged a .276 OBP between them.  All of which added up to the 2nd worst team OBP in league at .291, only the Fishbiscuits were worse and they played in an extreme pitcher's park.

For kicks, I ran the correlation between run scoring and the three key major rate stats in our league – AVG, OBP, power measured by ISO:

73% - OBP
51% - AVG
50% - ISO

OBP is king, remember that!  Major league baseball is much the same, with OBP receiving an 83% correlation, AVG 74%, and ISO 50%.  Not sure why DMB doesn’t value batting average as high as we might expect when compared with real life.  Will have to think on that.

800 OPS Batters: 
None

Sub 4.00 ERA Starters
3.38 – Nip Winters
3.86 – Deacon Phillippe
3.97 – Addie Joss
3.96 – Justin Verlander
And 5h starter Claude Hendrix just missed at 4.10

Sub 3.25 ERA Relievers
2.79 – John Wetteland
3.19 – Medleen (in just 20 IP per year)
With Tom Gordon (3.31) coming close too

Best Value Draft Pick
Rd 19 – Ed Rile (.728 OPS, 48 doubles)

Bust Draft Pick
Rd 5 – Mike Trout (.229 / .286 / .356)



20 Resim Results
24) 64 wins, Downsouth Brews
23) 66 wins, Colorado Green Sox
22) 72 wins, Lancaster Pretty Ladies
21) 69 wins, Detroit Tigers
20) 74 wins, Platte County Burnt Ends
19) 75 wins, Leesburg Snowhole

2 comments:

  1. wow, norm cash didn't cross the .800 OPS threshold in the resims? He's always a top hitter, that's a big change, must be the era?

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  2. He was darn close - .270 / .349 / .446 for a .795 OPS.

    In the .500 he batted .300 / .396 / .502 for an .899 OPS

    The park wasn't bad, I have no idea why he hit so low for Leesburg. Interesting. The 500 resims were post ERA adjustment too.

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